Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Rostov vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
0 1
Full Time
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 14:00 UTC Rostov Arena 22,123 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 78' Moses Cobnan

Overview

Match Preview

FK Rostov vs FK KrasnodarRFPL at Rostov Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
02 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
07 Dec PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 3–1 W
30 Nov FK Nizhny Novgorod H 4–0 W
23 Nov PFC CSKA Moskva A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar FK Rostov A 1–0 W
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
01 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
08 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–0 D
01 Dec FK Spartak Moskva H 0–3 L
23 Nov FK Khimki A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FK Rostov FK Krasnodar
#10 Position #2
33 Points 66
30 Played 30
8 / 9 / 13 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
25 Scored 60
32 Conceded 23
-7 GD +37
1.10 PPG 2.20
27% Win % 67%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Rostov to score. At the same time, FK Krasnodar does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It’s high time Murad Musaev made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' FK Krasnodar started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' FK Rostov seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Rostov is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' The travelling FK Krasnodar supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 50' FK Rostov currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandr Chernikov on 52.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Aleksey Sutormin. He receives a card.
  • 62' FK Krasnodar has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 67' Moses Cobnan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Batxi on 67 minute.
  • 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Maksim Osipenko is booked for FK Rostov — card on 73.
  • 74' That is a card for FK Krasnodar. Moses Cobnan will be fuming at that decision.
  • 77' Another change for FK Krasnodar made on 77 minute. Nikita Krivtsov leaves to be changed by Danila Kozlov.
  • 78' What composure from Moses Cobnan! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 83' The whistle greets Konstantin Kuchaev as he departs to be replaced by Ronaldo.
  • 86' FK Rostov ring the changes. Ivan Komarov has done his job and it is now time for Kirill Shchetinin to step up.
  • 87' Jhon Cordoba picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' Giovanni Gonzalez gets the nod from FK Krasnodar. He replaces Olakunle Olusegun and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Viktor Melekhin on 90 minutes earns him a card. FK Rostov will be frustrated.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Krasnodar to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.78 FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Rostov22% Draw28% FK Krasnodar50%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FK Rostov or Draw
50%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
78%
FK Rostov or FK Krasnodar
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Rostov13% Draw48% FK Krasnodar39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 2
11.6%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 4
2.6%
2 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Rostov

Handicap FK Rostov covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 25% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 18% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
20%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.