FK Krasnodar vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2026/27)
- FK Fakel Voronezh 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 5–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Dec | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Khimki | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Dec | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Dec | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Krasnodar and FK Fakel Voronezh is underway.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Krasnodar Stadium. FK Krasnodar seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Moses Cobnan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' FK Fakel Voronezh have won 73 goals from 90 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aleksey Kashtanov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Fakel Voronezh.
- 23' Poor challenge from Mohamed Brahimi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vyacheslav Yakimov made 266 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' Russia international Sergey Bozhin has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 38' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Krasnodar in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past FK Fakel Voronezh's compact 3-4-3.
- 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Krasnodar must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' Poor challenge from Lucas Olaza. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 48' Moses Cobnan was booked on 48.
- 53' Assisted by Joao Batxi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nikita Krivtsov makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin is booked for FK Krasnodar — card on 59.
- 60' The FK Fakel Voronezh bench stirs into life. Dylan Mertens is withdrawn and Aleksey Kashtanov gets his opportunity.
- 63' Eduard Spertsyan is replacing Kevin for the FK Krasnodar side.
- 66' A goal from the Armenia international Eduard Spertsyan! He fires home on 66 to make it 2-0!
- 68' FK Krasnodar ring the changes. Moses Cobnan has done his job and it is now time for Fedor Smolov to step up.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Olakunle Olusegun makes it 3-0.
- 70' FK Fakel Voronezh make a change. Aleksandr Lomovitskiy trudges off to be replaced by Nikolay Giorgobiani on 70 minutes.
- 74' Magnificent from Olakunle Olusegun! That is 11 goals in 266 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 79' FK Krasnodar make a change. Nikita Krivtsov trudges off to be replaced by Danila Kozlov on 79 minutes.
- 80' Danila Kozlov adds to his 2 season tally! FK Krasnodar lead 5-0 — and this changes everything.
- 85' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 90' Anton Kovalev, a Belarus , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Krasnodar players.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 31
-
15
Lucas Olaza ↓ Sergey Petrov 79'
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Olakunle Olusegun 68'
- 53
- 20
- 1
- 4
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↓ Danila Kozlov 79'
- 11
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↓ Fedor Smolov 68'
-
6
Kevin ↓ Eduard Spertsyan 63'
Bench
-
19
Fedor Smolov ↑ 68'
-
10
Eduard Spertsyan ↑ 63'
-
98
Sergey Petrov ↑ 79'
-
40
Olakunle Olusegun ↑ 68'
-
8
Danila Kozlov ↑ 79'
- 13
- 58
- 95
FK Fakel Voronezh Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 72
-
10
Ilnur Alshin ↓ Anton Kovalev 63'
- 77
- 23
- 33
- 7
- 15
- 1
- 47
- 4
- 6
Bench
- 31
- 22
-
71
Anton Kovalev ↑ 63'
-
9
Aleksey Kashtanov ↑ 60'
- 92
-
11
Nichita Motpan ↑ 60'
-
64
Andrey Ivlev ↑ 60'
- 21
-
17
Nikolay Giorgobiani ↑ 70'
- 19
- 5
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Olakunle Olusegun | 2 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | 2 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 2 |
| Irakli Kvekveskiri | 2 |
| Nikita Krivtsov | 1 |
| Danila Kozlov | 1 |
| Mihajlo Banjac | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
FK Fakel Voronezh Form
2025-03-30
FK Krasnodar
5–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2025-03-15
FK Orenburg
1–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2025-03-08
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2025-03-02
FK Khimki
1–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2024-12-08
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
L
2024-12-01
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
0–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
85%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
39%
FK Krasnodar or FK Fakel Voronezh
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
1 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Fakel Voronezh covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

