Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 11:00 UTC Krasnodar Stadium 27,325 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nikita Krivtsov 53' 1–0
Eduard Spertsyan 66' 2–0
Olakunle Olusegun 69' 3–0
Olakunle Olusegun 74' 4–0
Danila Kozlov 80' 5–0
Lucas Olaza 45' Y
Moses Cobnan 48' Y
Kevin 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK Fakel VoronezhRFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 5–0 W
16 Mar FK Rostov A 1–0 W
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
01 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
08 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–0 D
01 Dec FK Spartak Moskva H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar FK Krasnodar A 0–5 L
15 Mar FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
02 Mar FK Khimki A 0–1 L
08 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–1 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Krasnodar and FK Fakel Voronezh is underway.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Krasnodar Stadium. FK Krasnodar seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Moses Cobnan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' FK Fakel Voronezh have won 73 goals from 90 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aleksey Kashtanov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Fakel Voronezh.
  • 23' Poor challenge from Mohamed Brahimi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vyacheslav Yakimov made 266 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' Russia international Sergey Bozhin has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Krasnodar in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past FK Fakel Voronezh's compact 3-4-3.
  • 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Krasnodar must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Lucas Olaza. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 48' Moses Cobnan was booked on 48.
  • 53' Assisted by Joao Batxi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nikita Krivtsov makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin is booked for FK Krasnodar — card on 59.
  • 60' The FK Fakel Voronezh bench stirs into life. Dylan Mertens is withdrawn and Aleksey Kashtanov gets his opportunity.
  • 63' Eduard Spertsyan is replacing Kevin for the FK Krasnodar side.
  • 66' A goal from the Armenia international Eduard Spertsyan! He fires home on 66 to make it 2-0!
  • 68' FK Krasnodar ring the changes. Moses Cobnan has done his job and it is now time for Fedor Smolov to step up.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Olakunle Olusegun makes it 3-0.
  • 70' FK Fakel Voronezh make a change. Aleksandr Lomovitskiy trudges off to be replaced by Nikolay Giorgobiani on 70 minutes.
  • 74' Magnificent from Olakunle Olusegun! That is 11 goals in 266 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 79' FK Krasnodar make a change. Nikita Krivtsov trudges off to be replaced by Danila Kozlov on 79 minutes.
  • 80' Danila Kozlov adds to his 2 season tally! FK Krasnodar lead 5-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 85' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' Anton Kovalev, a Belarus , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Krasnodar players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar61% Draw24% FK Fakel Voronezh15%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
85%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
39%
FK Krasnodar or FK Fakel Voronezh
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar41% Draw47% FK Fakel Voronezh12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
47%
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.