Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tokyo — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 46 | Conceded | 42 |
| -5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at City Light Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Kota Kudo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Soma Anzai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 18' It’s a booking for FC Tokyo player. Kento Hashimoto gets a card.
- 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 28' Kaito Abe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 38' Fagiano Okayama FC have won 51 goals from 56 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 41' The referee shows Fagiano Okayama FC player a card on 41.
- 46' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Kaito Fujii is replaced by Ryo Tabei on 46 minute.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 59' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Kazunari Ichimi departs to be replaced by Lucao.
- 61' Ryo Tabei puts Fagiano Okayama FC on the lead.
- 63' Maki Kitahara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Teruhito Nakagawa at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
- 73' With 3 assists to his name this season, Kosuke Shirai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 78' Ataru Esaka makes way for Yuta Kamiya at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 81' Teppei Oka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Soma Anzai on 81 minute.
- 85' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Takaya Kimura has done his job and it is now time for Hiroto Iwabuchi to step up.
- 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- With this win, Fagiano Okayama FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 78'
- 28
- 24
- 15
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 85'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 85'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↓ Ryo Tabei 46'
Bench
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 78'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 46'
- 45
- 23
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 85'
- 13
-
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 85'
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
-
18
Kento Hashimoto ↓ Keigo Higashi 63'
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 41
- 44
- 33
- 32
-
7
Soma Anzai ↓ Teppei Oka 81'
-
16
Kein Sato ↓ Keita Yamashita 81'
Bench
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 63'
- 4
- 13
-
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 81'
-
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 59'
-
14
Keita Yamashita ↑ 81'
- 28
-
53
Maki Kitahara ↑ 63'
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tokyo
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Tokyo
54%
Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Tokyo
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

