Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tokyo — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 46 | Conceded | 42 |
| -5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Fagiano Okayama FC welcome FC Tokyo for this crunch clash at City Light Stadium.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Takaya Kimura is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
- 18' FC Tokyo player sees a card in front of him.
- 23' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Tokyo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 33' Kaito Fujii is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 41' It’s gonna be a card for Kaito Fujii.
- 46' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Kaito Fujii is withdrawn and Ryo Tabei gets his opportunity.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' FC Tokyo have won 409 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 59' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 59 minute. Kazunari Ichimi leaves to be changed by Lucao.
- 61' Against the run of play, Ryo Tabei has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 63' Maki Kitahara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Teruhito Nakagawa at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 73' Japan international Keita Yamashita has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 78' Yuta Kamiya has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ataru Esaka on 78 minute.
- 81' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Soma Anzai has done his job and it is now time for Teppei Oka to step up.
- 85' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 85 minute. Takaya Kimura leaves to be changed by Hiroto Iwabuchi.
- 90' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tokyo backline.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Fagiano Okayama FC take all three points.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 78'
- 28
- 24
- 15
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 85'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 85'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↓ Ryo Tabei 46'
Bench
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 78'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 46'
- 45
- 23
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 85'
- 13
-
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 85'
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
-
18
Kento Hashimoto ↓ Keigo Higashi 63'
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 41
- 44
- 33
- 32
-
7
Soma Anzai ↓ Teppei Oka 81'
-
16
Kein Sato ↓ Keita Yamashita 81'
Bench
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 63'
- 4
- 13
-
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 81'
-
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 59'
-
14
Keita Yamashita ↑ 81'
- 28
-
53
Maki Kitahara ↑ 63'
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tokyo
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Tokyo
54%
Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Tokyo
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

