FC Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 46 |
| +13 | GD | -5 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 72% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Ajinomoto Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Tōkyō and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Japan international Keita Endo has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takaya Kimura suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yugo Tatsuta on 35.
- 40' FC Tōkyō have won 396 goals from 437 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 48' What composure from Kein Sato! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 53' Haruka Motoyama needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 59' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Kazunari Ichimi departs to be replaced by Lucao.
- 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 68' Soma Anzai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keita Endo at the 68 minute mark.
- 71' The whistle greets Hijiri Kato as he departs to be replaced by Takahiro Yanagi.
- 72' GOAL! Ataru Esaka scores on 72. Assisted by Yuta Kamiya
- 77' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Kota Tawaratsumida on, Marcos Guilherme off on 77 minutes.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Yoshitake Suzuki. He receives a card.
- 87' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 88' The Japan Kota Tawaratsumida breaks the deadlock on 88 minutes. 0-3!
- 89' Werik has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ataru Esaka on 89 minute.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kein Sato makes it 0-4.
- 90' The whistle greets Yuto Nagatomo as he departs to be replaced by Teppei Oka.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 40
- 81
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 13
- 30
- 14
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 28
- 88
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Werik 89'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 71'
- 41
- 26
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 71'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
Bench
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 71'
- 7
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 71'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 89'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
FC Tokyo Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.07
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
80%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
38%
FC Tokyo or Fagiano Okayama FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 17% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 18% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.