FC Tōkyō vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 46 |
| +13 | GD | -5 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 72% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Tōkyō and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' FC Tōkyō is showing some good football. However, FC Tōkyō are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Haruka Motoyama has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 451 appearances.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' Fagiano Okayama FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 35.
- 40' Takahiro Ko has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tōkyō and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Kein Sato gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
- 53' The 28-year-old Eiji Miyamoto has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 58' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Lucao on, Kazunari Ichimi off on 59 minutes.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 68' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Keita Endo exits the field as Soma Anzai enters on 68.
- 71' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Hijiri Kato exits the field as Takahiro Yanagi enters on 71.
- 72' Ataru Esaka doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Marcos Guilherme is replaced by Kota Tawaratsumida.
- 82' Yoshitake Suzuki picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 88' What a strike from Kota Tawaratsumida! The score is 0-3.
- 89' Werik is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ataru Esaka at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' Kein Sato with the second goal in the match!
- 90' Teppei Oka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuto Nagatomo at the 90 minute mark.
- Full Time. FC Tōkyō beats Fagiano Okayama FC
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 40
- 81
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 13
- 30
- 14
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 28
- 88
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Werik 89'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 71'
- 41
- 26
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 71'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
Bench
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 71'
- 7
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 71'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 89'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
FC Tokyo Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.07
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
80%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
38%
FC Tokyo or Fagiano Okayama FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 17% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 18% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.