FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Vissel Kobe 18 35 2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 5 Gamba Osaka 18 28 6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 11 Kashima Antlers 18 45 12 FC Tōkyō 18 37 13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 26 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W 22 Feb FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L 15 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W 08 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W 30 Nov Jubilo Iwata A 1–2 L 09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 0–3 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 26 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L 22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D 15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L 08 Dec Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–0 W 30 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L 09 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–0 D Season Stats
FC Tōkyō Nagoya Grampus #12 Position #3 37 Points 31 18 Played 18 13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8 55 Scored 46 42 Conceded 44 +13 GD +2 2.06 PPG 1.72 72% Win % 56% Key Stats
54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this seasonFC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō0-15–/116-30–/231-458/–46-602/–61-754/476+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededNagoya Grampus0-152/116-302/431-455/446-604/361-753/176+4/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Tōkyō to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Everton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 31' GOAL! Keita Yamashita scores on 31. Assisted by Kein Sato
- 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuya Yamagishi, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 41' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuya Asano is hanging Teruki Hara on the field on 41 minute.
- 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 59' What a strike from Kein Sato! The score is 0-2.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Marcelo Ryan. He replaces Keita Yamashita on 61 minute.
- 64' Goal! Keiya Shiihashi scores his 9 goal in 275 matches.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Kensuke Nagai. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 75 minute.
- 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryuji Izumi suffering a number of foals already.
- 84' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 84 minute. Mateus leaves to be changed by Tsukasa Morishima.
- 89' The referee calls foul for Kensuke Nagai. He receives a card.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Kei Koizumi.
- 90' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 90 minute. Kein Sato leaves to be changed by Teruhito Nakagawa.
- Another three points for FC Tōkyō.
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Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 8
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 44
- 14
- 98
- 32
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 5
- 3
- 39
- 4
- 13
- 19
- 33
- 28
Coach Rikizo MatsuhashiNagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
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8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Gen Kato 75'
- 17
- 15
- 4
- 16
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7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Kensuke Nagai 75'
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10
Mateus ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 84'
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70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yuya Asano 41'
- 11
- 55
- 20
Bench
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18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 75'
- 66
- 2
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14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 84'
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9
Yuya Asano ↑ 41'
- 27
- 3
- 35
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26
Gen Kato ↑ 75'
Coach Kenta Hasegawa -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Diego Oliveira 6 Kensuke Nagai 3 Kasper Junker 3 Diego Oliveira 2 Kensuke Nagai 2 Willian Rocha 1 Jakub Swierczok 1 Keita Yamashita 1 Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 43.02 FC Tōkyō xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.76 Nagoya Grampus xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 4.78Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 98% 2% ± 1.5 95% 5% ± 2.5 84% 16% ± 3.5 69% 31% ± 4.5 51% 49% Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw 79%Draw or Nagoya Grampus 39%FC Tōkyō or Nagoya Grampus 81%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 1 6.7%3 – 1 Actual2 – 2 5.8%3 – 2 5.7%1 – 1 5.2%4 – 1 5%4 – 2 4.3%2 – 0 4.1%1 – 2 4%3 – 0 3.9%2 – 3 3.4%3 – 3 3.4%Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
Handicap FC Tōkyō covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers -2.5 26% — 74% -2 26% 17% 57% -1.5 43% — 57% -1 43% 18% 38% -0.5 62% — 38% +0.5 79% — 21% +1 79% 11% 10% +1.5 90% — 10% +2 90% 6% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet 6% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

