V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Peace Stadium.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 5–4 | W |
| 09 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 10–9 | W |
| 10 May | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 21 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| -8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 39% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
1/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/3
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! V-Varen Nagasaki welcome FC Tokyo for this crunch clash at Peace Stadium.
- 3' It’s gonna be a card for Yuto Iwasaki.
- 8' Ikki Arai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for V-Varen Nagasaki so far.
- 13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Tokyo winning 100% of all matches.
- 18' FC Tokyo has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 20' Time for substitution for V-Varen Nagasaki. Ikki Arai is replaced by Masahiro Sekiguchi.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kashif Bangunagande suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' FC Tokyo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Motoki Nagakura makes it 0-1.
- 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' It is a substitution in V-Varen Nagasaki team. Hotaru Yamaguchi is replaced by Kenshin Yasuda on 46 minute.
- 48' That looks like a foul for a card for Takahiro Ko.
- 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Shion Homma makes it 0-2.
- 50' It’s a booking for FC Tokyo player. Takahiro Ko gets a card.
- 55' Marcelo Ryan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
- 58' Yuto Iwasaki makes way for Norman Campbell at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from V-Varen Nagasaki.
- 60' The crowd applauds Marcelo Ryan as he leaves the pitch. Fuki Yamada steps in for FC Tokyo.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 67' Teruhito Nakagawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Motoki Nagakura and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Reijin Kou is replacing Thiago Santana for the V-Varen Nagasaki side.
- 75' FC Tokyo looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Marcelo Ryan scoring 1 goals.
- 77' A tactical swap from V-Varen Nagasaki — Matheus Jesus on, Shunya Yoneda off on 77 minutes.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Norman Campbell on 78.
- 79' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Takahiro Ko has done his job and it is now time for Kyota Tokiwa to step up.
- 83' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Kein Sato departs to be replaced by Hirokazu Ishihara.
- 88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Tokyo take all three points.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
23
Shunya Yoneda ↓ Matheus Jesus 77'
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Reijin Kou 70'
- 50
- 5
-
29
Ikki Arai ↓ Masahiro Sekiguchi 20'
- 1
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Norman Campbell 58'
- 6
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Diego Pituca 70'
- 41
Bench
- 19
-
10
Matheus Jesus ↑ 77'
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 70'
- 13
- 17
-
11
Norman Campbell ↑ 58'
-
3
Masahiro Sekiguchi ↑ 20'
-
39
Reijin Kou ↑ 70'
-
7
Kenshin Yasuda ↑ 46'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 6
- 18
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Kyota Tokiwa 79'
- 24
-
9
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Fuki Yamada 60'
- 81
- 26
-
19
Shion Homma ↓ Soma Anzai 60'
- 4
-
10
Kein Sato ↓ Hirokazu Ishihara 83'
Bench
- 3
-
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 67'
-
22
Hirokazu Ishihara ↑ 83'
- 42
-
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 60'
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 60'
-
27
Kyota Tokiwa ↑ 79'
- 1
- 25
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 3 |
| Diego Oliveira | 3 |
| Keigo Higashi | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
| Motoki Nagakura | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.84
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
47%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
74%
V-Varen Nagasaki or FC Tōkyō
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.5%
2 – 4
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 7% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 18% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 16% | 23% |
| +2.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

