FC Tōkyō vs FC Mito Holly Hock, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs FC Mito Holly Hock — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- FC Mito Holly Hock 18 games · 18 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Atsushi Kamimura
13 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 7.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FC Mito Holly Hock | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Mar | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | FC Mito Holly Hock | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #19 |
| 37 | Points | 18 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 12 |
| 55 | Scored | 35 |
| 42 | Conceded | 50 |
| +13 | GD | -15 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 72% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
17%
Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/5
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Danilo Cardoso, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Tada suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 17' Danilo Cardoso puts FC Mito Holly Hock on the lead.
- 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 27' FC Tōkyō seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 32' FC Tōkyō looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Marcelo Ryan scoring 2 goals.
- 35' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 28 goal in 325 matches.
- 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Takumi Mase.
- 43' What a strike from Kein Sato! The score is 0-3.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Danilo Cardoso. He receives a card.
- 46' It is a substitution in FC Mito Holly Hock team. Mizuki Arai is replaced by Hayata Yamamoto on 46 minute.
- 50' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 28 goal in 325 matches.
- 55' Time for substitution for FC Mito Holly Hock. Arata Watanabe is replaced by Ryo Nemoto.
- 56' The whistle greets Takumi Mase as he departs to be replaced by Sho Omori.
- 61' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 66' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tōkyō is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 68' Goal! Sei Muroya scores his 7 goal in 437 matches.
- 69' Another substitution for FC Mito Holly Hock to replace Matheus Leiria Dos Santos by Koki Ando on 69 minute.
- 70' Goal! Koki Ando scores his 2 goal in 18 matches.
- 70' Rio Omori is replacing Alexander Scholz for the FC Tokyo side.
- 74' What a strike from Ryunosuke Sato! The score is 0-7.
- 76' Yuto Yamashita is replacing Taishi Semba for the FC Mito Holly Hock side.
- 81' Matheus Leiria Dos Santos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 83' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Kein Sato is replaced by Fuki Yamada on 83 minute.
- 88' The whistle greets Hayato Inamura as he departs to be replaced by Masato Morishige.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Tōkyō players.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 18
- 22
- 24
- 9
- 81
- 42
- 23
- 17
- 16
- 27
Bench
- 3
- 10
- 39
- 8
- 15
- 28
- 71
- 55
- 1
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
14
Mizuki Arai ↓ Hayata Yamamoto 46'
-
10
Arata Watanabe ↓ Ryo Nemoto 55'
- 34
-
19
Taishi Semba ↓ Yuto Yamashita 76'
- 17
- 3
-
25
Takumi Mase ↓ Sho Omori 56'
- 70
- 29
- 2
Bench
- 21
-
9
Ryo Nemoto ↑ 55'
-
33
Koki Ando ↑ 69'
- 4
-
7
Sho Omori ↑ 56'
-
48
Yuto Yamashita ↑ 76'
- 44
- 24
-
39
Hayata Yamamoto ↑ 46'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Kein Sato | 1 |
| Koki Ando | 1 |
| Danilo Cardoso | 1 |
| Sei Muroya | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
FC Tōkyō Form
FC Mito Holly Hock Form
2026-04-24
FC Tōkyō
5–2
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-04-19
FC Mito Holly Hock
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2026-04-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–1
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-04-04
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–3
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-03-22
Kashiwa Reysol
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-03-18
FC Mito Holly Hock
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.77
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
FC Mito Holly Hock xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Mito Holly Hock
32%
FC Tōkyō or FC Mito Holly Hock
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 2
5%
5 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
5 – 2
Actual
4 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | FC Mito Holly Hock covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -2 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 17% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 7% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.