Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Europe 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
FC Porto
2 – 1
Full Time
FK Crvena Zvezda
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Europe .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 21
2 Aston Villa FC 8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 19
4 Real Betis Balompie 8 17
5 FC Porto 8 17
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 8 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 17
8 AS Roma 8 16
9 KRC Genk 8 16
10 Bologna FC 1909 8 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 15
12 Ferencvarosi TC 8 15
13 Nottingham Forest FC 8 14
14 FC Viktoria Plzen 8 14
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 8 14
16 RC Celta de Vigo 8 13
17 PAOK Thessaloniki FC 8 12
18 Lille OSC 8 12
19 Fenerbahce SK 8 12
20 Panathinaikos AO 8 12
21 Celtic FC 8 11
22 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 8 10
23 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 8 10
24 SK Brann 8 9
25 BSC Young Boys 8 9
26 SK Sturm Graz 8 7
27 FCSB Bukarest 8 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 7
29 Feyenoord Rotterdam 8 6
30 FC Basel 1893 8 6
31 FC Red Bull Salzburg 8 6
32 Rangers FC 8 4
33 OGC Nice 8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 1
35 Malmo FF 8 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
FC Porto 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-02 FC Porto 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

FC Porto
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
29 Sep FC Arouca A 4–0 W
25 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–0 W
19 Sep Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
13 Sep CD Nacional H 1–0 W
30 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–1 W
FK Crvena Zvezda
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct FC Porto A 1–2 L
24 Sep Celtic FC H 1–1 D
26 Aug Paphos FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Paphos FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznan H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Porto FK Crvena Zvezda
#5 Position #15
17 Points 14
8 Played 8
5 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
13 Scored 7
7 Conceded 6
+6 GD +1
2.13 PPG 1.75
63% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

FC Porto are 5th (17 pts). FK Crvena Zvezda are 15th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto54% Draw27% FK Crvena Zvezda19%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
46%
FC Porto or FK Crvena Zvezda
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto34% Draw51% FK Crvena Zvezda15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
13%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.