Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Paphos FC, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Champions League Qualification · 2025
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 – 2
Full Time
Paphos FC
Tue 19 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Marakana HT 45' · FT 45'
Mirko Ivanic 78' Y
Y 87' Bruno Langa

Overview

Match Preview

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Paphos FC — Champions League Q at Marakana.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
7 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
FK Crvena Zvezda 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Paphos FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-19 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Paphos FC

Recent Form

FK Crvena Zvezda
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Paphos FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznań H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznań A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
Paphos FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
12 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
05 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
30 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W
22 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
Marko Arnautovic 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Marakana!
  • 1' The deadlock is broken! Joao Correia gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
  • 6' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 11' A quiet spell here at Marakana. FK Crvena Zvezda seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' Ken Sema is replacing Muamer Tankovic for the Paphos FC side.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' Romania international Vlad Dragomir has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 32' A change in the FK Crvena Zvezda ranks — Peter Olayinka exits the field as Bruno Duarte enters on 32.
  • 37' Mahmudu Bajo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 52' Magnificent from Pepe! That is 12 goals in 401 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 57' Paphos FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! Bruno Duarte makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 63' It looks like no one’s ball. Paphos FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 68' Peter Olayinka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 69' Aleksandar Katai is replacing Mahmudu Bajo for the FK Crvena Zvezda side.
  • 73' Bruno Langa gets the nod from Paphos FC. He replaces Kostas Pileas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Mirko Ivanic. He receives a card.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' Ken Sema makes way for Mislav Orsic at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paphos FC.
  • 86' The FK Crvena Zvezda bench stirs into life. Shavy Warren Babicka is withdrawn and Milson gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The referee shows Paphos FC player a card on 87.
  • It finishes all square. FK Crvena Zvezda and Paphos FC share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladan Milojevic

Paphos FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Carlos Carcedo

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Paphos FC xG
I would bet for: FK Crvena Zvezda or Paphos FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Crvena Zvezda33% Draw29% Paphos FC38%
Actual: Paphos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw
62%
Draw or Paphos FC
67%
FK Crvena Zvezda or Paphos FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Crvena Zvezda24% Draw48% Paphos FC28%
Actual: Paphos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Crvena Zvezda

Handicap FK Crvena Zvezda covers Push Paphos FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Paphos FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.