Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paphos FC vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Tue 26 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Alphamega Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Rade Krunic
Jaja 79' Y
Bruno 86' Y
Pepe 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Paphos FC vs FK Crvena ZvezdaChampions League Q at Alphamega Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Paphos FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
19 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
12 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
05 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
30 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W
22 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Paphos FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Paphos FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznan H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Paphos FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paphos FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/2
61-75
/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Alphamega Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Paphos FC and FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Goldar suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Sunjic, as he is very good at scoring at Alphamega Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Rade Krunic is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 34' FK Crvena Zvezda player sees a card in front of him.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Paphos FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' Joao Correia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
  • 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Derrick Luckassen made 464 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' That looks like a foul for a card for Shavy Warren Babicka.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Marko Arnautovic. He replaces Bruno Duarte on 56 minute.
  • 60' FK Crvena Zvezda is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mirko Ivanic on 60.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Paphos FC team. Kostas Pileas is replaced by Bruno Langa on 61 minute.
  • 66' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Paphos FC. Anderson is replaced by Mons Bassouamina.
  • 73' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Crvena Zvezda that had 245 games and scored 139 goals.
  • 79' The referee shows Paphos FC player a card on 79.
  • 84' It looks surprising FK Crvena Zvezda does not make any changes. Nair Tiknizyan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' Paphos FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 89' What an equalizer from Jaja!
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Pepe.
  • 90' Peter Olayinka is replacing Mirko Ivanic for the FK Crvena Zvezda side.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Paphos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: Paphos FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Paphos FC44% Draw28% FK Crvena Zvezda28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Paphos FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
56%
Paphos FC or FK Crvena Zvezda
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paphos FC28% Draw50% FK Crvena Zvezda22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Paphos FC

Handicap Paphos FC covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Paphos FC keeps clean sheet
34%
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.