FC Porto vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Europe 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Europa League · 2025-26

FC Porto

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Crvena Zvezda

Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Europe .

FC Porto 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
FK Crvena Zvezda 8 games · 14 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Harm Osmers

10 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Olympique Lyonnais	8	21
2	Aston Villa FC	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis Balompié	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	Sporting Clube de Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	KRC Genk	8	16
10	Bologna FC 1909	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvárosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest FC	8	14
14	FC Viktoria Plzeň	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	RC Celta de Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK Thessaloniki FC	8	12
18	Lille OSC	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe SK	8	12
20	Panathinaikos AO	8	12
21	Celtic FC	8	11
22	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	8	10
23	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	SK Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	SK Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB Bukarest	8	7
28	Go Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord Rotterdam	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	FC Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers FC	8	4
33	OGC Nice	8	3
34	FC Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC	8	1

Head-to-Head

FC Porto 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-02 FC Porto 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

FC Porto

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	2–1	W
29 Sep	FC Arouca	A	4–0	W
25 Sep	FC Red Bull Salzburg	A	1–0	W
19 Sep	Rio Ave FC	A	3–0	W
13 Sep	CD Nacional	H	1–0	W
30 Aug	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	2–1	W

FK Crvena Zvezda

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	FC Porto	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	Celtic FC	H	1–1	D
26 Aug	Paphos FC	A	1–1	D
19 Aug	Paphos FC	H	1–2	L
12 Aug	KKS Lech Poznań	H	1–1	D
06 Aug	KKS Lech Poznań	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

FC Porto		FK Crvena Zvezda
#5	Position	#15
17	Points	14
8	Played	8
5 / 2 / 1	W / D / L	4 / 2 / 2
13	Scored	7
7	Conceded	6
+6	GD	+1
2.13	PPG	1.75
63%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Porto are 5th (17 pts). FK Crvena Zvezda are 15th (14 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for FC Porto and FK Crvena Zvezda.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.42 FC Porto xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 FK Crvena Zvezda xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Porto54% Draw27% FK Crvena Zvezda19%

Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw

81%

Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda

46%

FC Porto or FK Crvena Zvezda

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Porto34% Draw51% FK Crvena Zvezda15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

14.2%

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 0

13%

2 – 0

10.5%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

7.5%

3 – 0

4.9%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.5%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 2

1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap	FC Porto covers	Push	FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	25%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.