FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Machida GION Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' What a moment for Kazuki Fujimoto! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
- 10' That is a card for Sagan Tosu FC. Wataru Harada will be fuming at that decision.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for So Kawahara suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' The 23-year-old Ayumu Yokoyama has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 34' Magnificent from Marcelo Ryan! That is 28 goals in 327 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' FC Machida Zelvia have won 116 goals from 94 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Gen Shoji gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Junya Suzuki and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 54' GOAL! Se-hun Oh fires home to make it 2-1!
- 57' GOAL! Se-hun Oh scores on 57. Assisted by Yu Hirakawa
- 62' FC Machida Zelvia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 64' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Marcelo Ryan is replaced by Vinicius Araujo.
- 68' The crowd applauds Taichi Kikuchi as he leaves the pitch. Ayumu Yokoyama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 70' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Kazuki Fujimoto has done his job and it is now time for Masayuki Okuyama to step up.
- 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 78' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Kai Shibato trudges off to be replaced by Hokuto Shimoda on 78 minutes.
- 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Machida Zelvia and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 85' Kosuke Yamazaki is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 88' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Shota Fujio is replaced by Kentaro Moriya on 88 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
45
Kai Shibato ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 78'
- 5
- 8
- 22
- 9
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↓ Gen Shoji 46'
- 26
- 7
- 14
- 90
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 78'
- 41
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 46'
- 15
- 42
-
2
Masayuki Okuyama ↑ 70'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 64'
- 16
- 88
- 71
- 21
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 68'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 64'
- 19
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
-
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 68'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 68'
- 12
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 |
| Tsubasa Terayama | 1 |
| Daichi Suzuki | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
2024-03-30
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-03-16
Sagan Tosu FC
0–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-03-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-03-02
Sagan Tosu FC
4–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-02-24
Sagan Tosu FC
1–2
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-12-03
Sagan Tosu FC
0–1
Kawasaki Frontale
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
85%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
37%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sagan Tosu FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.