FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Vissel Kobe 18 35 2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 5 Gamba Osaka 18 28 6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 11 Kashima Antlers 18 45 12 FC Tokyo 18 37 13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetingsRecent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 30 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 3–1 W 16 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W 09 Mar Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W 02 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 1–0 W 24 Feb Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L 16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L 09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L 02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W 24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L 03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L Key Stats
100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia0-152/–16-301/–31-452/146-603/161-752/176+–/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Machida Zelvia gets underway.
- 5' What a strike from Kazuki Fujimoto! The score is 1-0.
- 10' Wataru Harada is having his name booked by the referee on 10.
- 15' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 34' What an equalizer from Marcelo Ryan!
- 39' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Junya Suzuki, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 45' It’s a booking for FC Machida Zelvia player. Junya Suzuki gets a card.
- 46' Gen Shoji has so much to prove this time. He replaces Junya Suzuki on 46 minute.
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Yoichi Naganuma.
- 54' Se-hun Oh puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
- 57' Se-hun Oh with the second goal in the match!
- 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Vinicius Araujo. He replaces Marcelo Ryan on 64 minute.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Ayumu Yokoyama. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi on 68 minute.
- 70' Masayuki Okuyama is replacing Kazuki Fujimoto for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
- 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Wataru Harada made 262 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' The whistle greets Kai Shibato as he departs to be replaced by Hokuto Shimoda.
- 83' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keiya Sento suffering a number of foals already.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kosuke Yamazaki on 85.
- 88' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 88 minute. Shota Fujio leaves to be changed by Kentaro Moriya.
- The final score is 3-1.
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Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
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45
Kai Shibato ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 78'
- 5
- 8
- 22
- 9
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6
Junya Suzuki ↓ Gen Shoji 46'
- 26
- 7
- 14
- 90
Bench
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18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 78'
- 41
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3
Gen Shoji ↑ 46'
- 15
- 42
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2
Masayuki Okuyama ↑ 70'
Coach Go KurodaSagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
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99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 64'
- 16
- 88
- 71
- 21
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23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 68'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
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11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 64'
- 19
- 3
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22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
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28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 68'
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13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 68'
- 12
Coach Kenta Kawai -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Se-hun Oh 2 Tsubasa Terayama 1 Daichi Suzuki 1 Ibrahim Dresevic 1 Marcelo Ryan 1 Kazuki Fujimoto 1 Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 42.1 FC Machida Zelvia xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.93 Sagan Tosu FC xGI would bet for: FC Machida Zelvia to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.03Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 94% 6% ± 1.5 80% 20% ± 2.5 57% 43% ± 3.5 36% 64% ± 4.5 19% 81% Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw 85%Draw or Sagan Tosu FC 37%FC Machida Zelvia or Sagan Tosu FC 79%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 0 10.5%1 – 1 10.2%1 – 0 9.6%2 – 1 9.5%3 – 0 7.2%3 – 1 Actual0 – 0 6.5%2 – 2 4.4%1 – 2 4.2%0 – 1 3.8%4 – 0 3.8%4 – 1 3.6%Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers -2.5 21% — 79% -2 21% 19% 60% -1.5 40% — 60% -1 40% 23% 37% -0.5 63% — 37% +0.5 85% — 15% +1 85% 10% 5% +1.5 95% — 5% +2 95% 4% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet 40% ✓Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet 13% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

