Saturday , 15 August 2026

FC Tokyo vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs FC Machida ZelviaJ. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
15 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
08 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
30 Nov Jubilo Iwata A 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 0–3 L
03 Nov Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–0 W
16 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
08 Dec Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
30 Nov Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
09 Nov FC Tokyo H 3–0 W
03 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Tokyo FC Machida Zelvia
#12 Position #13
37 Points 37
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
55 Scored 42
42 Conceded 33
+13 GD +9
2.06 PPG 2.06
72% Win % 72%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FC Tōkyō have kicked off against FC Machida Zelvia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tōkyō and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' The 22-year-old Kota Tawaratsumida has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 19' Kanta Doi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
  • 24' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tōkyō is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Se-hun Oh.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 49' With 4 assists to his name this season, Marcelo Ryan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
  • 51' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Se-hun Oh departs to be replaced by Shota Fujio.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tōkyō and FC Machida Zelvia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 60' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 64' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Marcelo Ryan is withdrawn and Kein Sato gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Controversy at the stadium! Yuto Nagatomo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' FC Tōkyō is showing some good football. However, FC Tōkyō are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Kanta Doi is replaced by Yasuki Kimoto on 73 minute.
  • 75' Hokuto Shimoda is replacing Ryohei Shirasaki for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
  • 79' Hiroyuki Mae has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
  • 82' A stunning finish from Takuma Nishimura — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 83' FC Tokyo make a change. Kei Koizumi trudges off to be replaced by Kento Hashimoto on 83 minutes.
  • 86' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Takuma Nishimura is replaced by Kanji Kuwayama on 86 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Machida Zelvia players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: FC Tokyo or FC Machida Zelvia 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo37% Draw24% FC Machida Zelvia39%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
63%
FC Tokyo or FC Machida Zelvia
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo31% Draw39% FC Machida Zelvia30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
16%
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.