FC Tokyo vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC Tokyo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #13 |
| 37 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 55 | Scored | 42 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +9 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 72% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Tōkyō have kicked off against FC Machida Zelvia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tōkyō and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' The 22-year-old Kota Tawaratsumida has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 19' Kanta Doi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
- 24' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
- 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
- 34' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tōkyō is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Se-hun Oh.
- 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 49' With 4 assists to his name this season, Marcelo Ryan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 51' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Se-hun Oh departs to be replaced by Shota Fujio.
- 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tōkyō and FC Machida Zelvia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 60' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 64' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Marcelo Ryan is withdrawn and Kein Sato gets his opportunity.
- 67' Controversy at the stadium! Yuto Nagatomo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 72' FC Tōkyō is showing some good football. However, FC Tōkyō are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 73' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Kanta Doi is replaced by Yasuki Kimoto on 73 minute.
- 75' Hokuto Shimoda is replacing Ryohei Shirasaki for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
- 79' Hiroyuki Mae has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 82' A stunning finish from Takuma Nishimura — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 83' FC Tokyo make a change. Kei Koizumi trudges off to be replaced by Kento Hashimoto on 83 minutes.
- 86' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Takuma Nishimura is replaced by Kanji Kuwayama on 86 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Machida Zelvia players.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 19
- 33
- 32
Bench
- 18
- 4
- 13
- 44
- 98
- 7
- 28
- 16
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 23
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 75'
- 5
- 16
- 50
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Shota Fujio 51'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 75'
- 13
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 51'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 75'
- 26
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 86'
- 39
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Soma Anzai | 1 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
FC Tokyo or FC Machida Zelvia 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
63%
FC Tokyo or FC Machida Zelvia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

