FC Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | FC Tokyo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Machida GION Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia are looking to make home advantage count against Albirex Niigata.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 16' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hokuto Shimoda on 16 minutes.
- 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Takuma Nishimura puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
- 40' Taiki Arai, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Kodai Mori is replaced by Ken Yamura.
- 51' The 25-year-old Kosei Tani has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daisuke Kimori will be considering his options from the bench.
- 71' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 76' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Sang-ho Na on, Yuki Soma off on 76 minutes.
- 77' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Kento Hashimoto comes on to replace Yuto Horigome.
- 82' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Albirex Niigata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 84' The crowd applauds Takuma Nishimura as he leaves the pitch. Shota Fujio steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 86' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Taiki Arai by Yoshiaki Takagi on 86 minute.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Shota Fujio 84'
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 76'
- 5
- 16
- 50
- 26
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 76'
Bench
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↑ 84'
- 13
- 4
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 84'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 76'
- 6
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 76'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 2
- 25
- 6
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kento Hashimoto 77'
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Jin Okumura 77'
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Yota Komi 77'
- 41
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 86'
- 1
-
38
Kodai Mori ↓ Ken Yamura 46'
Bench
- 35
- 18
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 77'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 77'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 86'
- 23
-
30
Jin Okumura ↑ 77'
- 8
-
9
Ken Yamura ↑ 46'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Shota Fujio | 2 |
| Min-Gyu Jang | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Yota Komi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
75%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
56%
FC Machida Zelvia or Albirex Niigata
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.