Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs FC Internazionale Milano, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 28 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Lautaro Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs FC Internazionale MilanoSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Aureliano
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L
14 Jan Udinese Calcio H 2–2 D
06 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–1 L
29 Dec Torino FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec AC Monza A 1–0 W
17 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–0 W
13 Jan AC Monza A 5–1 W
06 Jan Hellas Verona FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
23 Dec US Lecce H 2–0 W
17 Dec SS Lazio A 2–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina FC Internazionale Milano
#15 Position #1
42 Points 87
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 27 / 6 / 5
41 Scored 89
50 Conceded 35
-9 GD +54
1.11 PPG 2.29
24% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.91 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14 FC Internazionale Milano xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + FC Internazionale Milano to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina19% Draw24% FC Internazionale Milano57%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
43%
Draw or FC Internazionale Milano
81%
ACF Fiorentina or FC Internazionale Milano
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina13% Draw41% FC Internazionale Milano46%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.8%
1 – 1
10%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
7.5%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4%
0 – 4
4%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push FC Internazionale Milano covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 36% 64%
+1 36% 23% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 20% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
13%
FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.