Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Famalicão vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Famalicão vs CD NacionalPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Pedro Ramalho
5 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar CD Nacional H 1–0 W
14 Mar Vitória SC A 2–1 W
06 Mar FC Arouca H 1–0 W
01 Mar Rio Ave FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb Casa Pia AC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L
07 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
15 Feb FC Porto H 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Famalicão CD Nacional
#5 Position #14
56 Points 34
34 Played 34
15 / 11 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18
42 Scored 37
29 Conceded 45
+13 GD -8
1.65 PPG 1.00
44% Win % 26%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Famalicão this season
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Famalicão are 5th (56 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Famalicão
0-15
/3
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Famalicão Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 FC Famalicão xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.46 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Famalicão61% Draw27% CD Nacional12%
Actual: FC Famalicão win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

FC Famalicão or Draw
88%
Draw or CD Nacional
39%
FC Famalicão or CD Nacional
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Famalicão37% Draw54% CD Nacional9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
18.2%
2 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 1
3.3%
4 – 0
2.3%
1 – 2
2.2%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Famalicão

Handicap FC Famalicão covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 29% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 9% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Famalicão keeps clean sheet
63%
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.