Thursday , 2 July 2026

Vitória SC vs FC Famalicão, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs FC FamalicãoPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Helder Carvalho (Portugal)
9 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar FC Famalicão H 1–2 L
08 Mar CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L
28 Feb FC Alverca H 1–1 D
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–3 L
14 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–1 W
07 Feb FC Arouca A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Vitória SC A 2–1 W
06 Mar FC Arouca H 1–0 W
01 Mar Rio Ave FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb Casa Pia AC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–1 L
09 Feb AVS H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Vitória SC FC Famalicão
#9 Position #5
42 Points 56
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 15 / 11 / 8
39 Scored 42
51 Conceded 29
-12 GD +13
1.24 PPG 1.65
35% Win % 44%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Famalicão this season

Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts). FC Famalicão are 5th (56 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Famalicão
0-15
/3
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

FC Famalicão Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.89 Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 FC Famalicão xG
I would bet for: FC Famalicão or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC27% Draw31% FC Famalicão42%
Actual: FC Famalicão win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Famalicão
73%
Vitória SC or FC Famalicão
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC18% Draw53% FC Famalicão29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 2
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap Vitória SC covers Push FC Famalicão covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 23% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
30%
FC Famalicão keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.