Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Hilario Grajeda
- Referee David Barrie
- Referee
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | D.C. United SC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–7 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 17 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 45 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | +1 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Toronto FC gets underway.
- 5' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 16' The deadlock is broken! Nick DeLeon gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
- 21' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 26' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' Poland international Przemyslaw Tyton has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 43' Mathieu Deplagne has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 43.
- 48' Pozuelo, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 50' A stunning finish from Jozy Altidore — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' The supporters are chanting for Darren Mattocks. He replaces Rashawn Dally on 56 minute.
- 57' Allan Cruz is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 58' What a moment for Emmanuel Ledesma! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 67' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 72' FC Cincinnati make a change. Roland Lamah trudges off to be replaced by Kekuta Manneh on 72 minutes.
- 75' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Marky Delgado by Jonathan Osorio on 75 minute.
- 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 81' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Jacob Shaffelburg by Chris Mavinga on 81 minute.
- 86' The crowd applauds Jozy Altidore as he leaves the pitch. Patrick Mullins steps in for Toronto FC.
- 87' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Victor Ulloa.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Drew Moor argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- Another three points for Toronto FC.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 3
- 4
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Jonathan Osorio 75'
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Patrick Mullins 86'
- 10
- 18
- 22
- 24
- 44
Bench
- 25
- 5
-
23
Chris Mavinga ↑ 81'
- 96
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 75'
- 31
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 86'
Coach
Greg Vanney
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Thomas McCabe 81'
- 22
-
7
Roland Lamah ↓ Kekuta Manneh 72'
- 8
- 2
- 15
- 32
- 45
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Darren Mattocks 56'
Bench
- 14
- 6
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↑ 56'
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 72'
- 13
-
26
Thomas McCabe ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.33
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
51%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.1%
4 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 18% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 15% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.