Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Hilario Grajeda
- Referee David Barrie
- Referee
9 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | D.C. United SC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–7 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 39 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 52 | Scored | 67 |
| 67 | Conceded | 75 |
| -15 | GD | -8 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between toronto fc and fc cincinnati.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. fc cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Allan Cruz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 16' Goal! Nick DeLeon scores his 12 goal in 297 matches.
- 21' The energy levels are beginning to show. Greg Vanney might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Darren Mattocks, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 31' toronto fc currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 36' Jacob Shaffelburg has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 300 appearances.
- 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 43' Controversy at the stadium! Mathieu Deplagne argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
- 50' Jozy Altidore has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 55' Justin Hoyte has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Rashawn Dally departs to be replaced by Darren Mattocks.
- 57' A moment of madness from Allan Cruz on 57 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 58' The Argentina Emmanuel Ledesma breaks the deadlock on 58 minutes. 0-3!
- 62' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 62.
- 67' fc cincinnati have won 381 goals from 264 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 72' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kekuta Manneh is hanging Roland Lamah on the field on 72 minute.
- 75' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Marky Delgado is replaced by Jonathan Osorio.
- 80' toronto fc looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 81' Chris Mavinga is replacing Jacob Shaffelburg for the Toronto FC side.
- 86' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Patrick Mullins on, Jozy Altidore off on 86 minutes.
- 87' The referee has no hesitation. Victor Ulloa is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 87.
- 90' Toronto FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- toronto fc celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 3
- 4
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Jonathan Osorio 75'
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Patrick Mullins 86'
- 10
- 18
- 22
- 24
- 44
Bench
- 25
- 5
-
23
Chris Mavinga ↑ 81'
- 96
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 75'
- 31
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 86'
Coach
Greg Vanney
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Thomas McCabe 81'
- 22
-
7
Roland Lamah ↓ Kekuta Manneh 72'
- 8
- 2
- 15
- 32
- 45
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Darren Mattocks 56'
Bench
- 14
- 6
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↑ 56'
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 72'
- 13
-
26
Thomas McCabe ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.