Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Hilario Grajeda
- Referee David Barrie
- Referee
6 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | D.C. United SC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–7 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 64 |
| -12 | GD | -9 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 22% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Toronto FC have kicked off against FC Cincinnati. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Costa Rica international Allan Cruz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 16' What composure from Nick DeLeon! The United States international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 21' The energy levels are beginning to show. Yoann Damet might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 26' Omar Gonzalez, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thomas McCabe, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mathieu Deplagne on 43.
- 48' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Michael Bradley has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' What composure from Jozy Altidore! The USA international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marky Delgado suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Rashawn Dally departs to be replaced by Darren Mattocks.
- 57' The referee calls foul for Allan Cruz. He receives a Yellow card.
- 58' Against the run of play, Emmanuel Ledesma has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' The referee has no hesitation. Kendall Waston is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 62.
- 67' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Kekuta Manneh. He replaces Roland Lamah on 72 minute.
- 75' Jonathan Osorio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marky Delgado at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 81' Chris Mavinga is replacing Jacob Shaffelburg for the Toronto FC side.
- 86' Patrick Mullins is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jozy Altidore at the 86 minute mark.
- 87' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 90' Toronto FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 2-1 the final result. FC Cincinnati will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 3
- 4
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Jonathan Osorio 75'
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Patrick Mullins 86'
- 10
- 18
- 22
- 24
- 44
Bench
- 25
- 5
-
23
Chris Mavinga ↑ 81'
- 96
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 75'
- 31
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 86'
Coach
Greg Vanney
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Thomas McCabe 81'
- 22
-
7
Roland Lamah ↓ Kekuta Manneh 72'
- 8
- 2
- 15
- 32
- 45
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Darren Mattocks 56'
Bench
- 14
- 6
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↑ 56'
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 72'
- 13
-
26
Thomas McCabe ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.43
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 19% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

