Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Hilario Grajeda
- Referee David Barrie
- Referee
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | D.C. United SC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–7 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 20 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 36 |
| 29 | Conceded | 37 |
| -7 | GD | -1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 21% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toronto FC to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' USA international Quentin Westberg has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 16' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nick DeLeon on 16.
- 21' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 26' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 31' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' Controversy at the stadium! Mathieu Deplagne argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 48' Allan Cruz, a Costa Rica , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 50' Jozy Altidore doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 55' It’s high time Yoann Damet made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 56 minute. Rashawn Dally leaves to be changed by Darren Mattocks.
- 57' Allan Cruz is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 58' Emmanuel Ledesma does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 62' That is a Yellow card for FC Cincinnati. Kendall Waston will be fuming at that decision.
- 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 72' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 72 minute. Roland Lamah leaves to be changed by Kekuta Manneh.
- 75' The whistle greets Marky Delgado as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Osorio.
- 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 81' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Chris Mavinga on, Jacob Shaffelburg off on 81 minutes.
- 86' Patrick Mullins is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jozy Altidore at the 86 minute mark.
- 87' Victor Ulloa is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Drew Moor. He receives a Yellow card.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Toronto FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 3
- 4
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Jonathan Osorio 75'
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Patrick Mullins 86'
- 10
- 18
- 22
- 24
- 44
Bench
- 25
- 5
-
23
Chris Mavinga ↑ 81'
- 96
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 75'
- 31
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 86'
Coach
Greg Vanney
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Thomas McCabe 81'
- 22
-
7
Roland Lamah ↓ Kekuta Manneh 72'
- 8
- 2
- 15
- 32
- 45
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Darren Mattocks 56'
Bench
- 14
- 6
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↑ 56'
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 72'
- 13
-
26
Thomas McCabe ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.52
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 18% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 15% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.