Atlanta United FC vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Atlanta United FC

5 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Larrys Mabiala

Y 61' Claudio Bravo

Y 67' Eryk Williamson

Y 68' Zac McGraw

Santiago Sosa 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Portland Timbers — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers 2022-09-04 Portland Timbers 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2019-08-19 Portland Timbers 0–2 Atlanta United FC 2018-12-09 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Portland Timbers 2018-06-24 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Portland Timbers	H	5–1	W
11 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	3–0	W
05 Mar	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Feb	San Jose Earthquakes	H	2–1	W
09 Oct	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
01 Oct	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	1–5	L
12 Mar	St. Louis City	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
28 Feb	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–0	W
09 Oct	Real Salt Lake	A	1–3	L
02 Oct	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		Portland Timbers
#14	Position	#26
27	Points	32
27	Played	27
7 / 6 / 14	W / D / L	9 / 5 / 13
32	Scored	48
45	Conceded	51
-13	GD	-3
1.00	PPG	1.19
26%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

4% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

3/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

3/6

61-75

4/7

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

4/9

16-30

7/9

31-45

5/8

46-60

5/4

61-75

7/–

76+

10/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A
Kristoffer Velde	8 G	5 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Atlanta United FC launch into their encounter with Portland Timbers.
2' Eryk Williamson makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Portland Timbers are in front.
7' Atlanta United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Aleksei Miranchuk scoring 1 goals.
12' Over 12 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
17' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atlanta United FC and Portland Timbers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
25' Against the run of play, Caleb Wiley has scored! This game has turned on its head.
30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and Portland Timbers are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
45' Larrys Mabiala was booked on 45.
50' Brilliant from the midfielder! Thiago Almada makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 45.
55' Atlanta United FC currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
58' GOAL! Giorgos Giakoumakis fires home to make it 3-1!
59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Giorgos Giakoumakis makes it 4-1.
61' Claudio Bravo is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
67' Poor challenge from Eryk Williamson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
68' Controversy at the stadium! Zac McGraw argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
69' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Santiago Moreno has done his job and it is now time for Marvin Loria to step up.
73' The whistle greets Franco Ibarra as he departs to be replaced by Santiago Sosa.
74' Luiz Araujo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
75' The deadlock is broken! Luiz Araujo gets on the scoresheet on 75 minutes.
76' Time for substitution for Portland Timbers. Jaroslaw Niezgoda is replaced by Diego Gutierrez.
77' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Ajani Fortune comes on to replace Amar Sejdic.
81' It’s a booking for Atlanta United FC player. Santiago Sosa gets a Yellow card.
82' The crowd applauds Juan Mosquera as he leaves the pitch. Pablo Bonilla steps in for Portland Timbers.
83' Against the run of play, Tega Ikoba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Thiago Almada makes it 7-2.
89' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Miles Robinson has done his job and it is now time for Luis Abram to step up.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Atlanta United FC take all three points.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Luiz Araujo
11
Brooks Lennon
7
Giorgos Giakoumakis ↓ Miguel Berry 77'
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Luis Abram 89'
23
Thiago Almada
13
Amar Sejdic ↓ Ajani Fortune 77'
15
Andrew Gutman
14
Franco Ibarra ↓ Santiago Sosa 73'
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Derrick Etienne 73'
22
Juan Sanchez

Bench

31
Quentin Westberg
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 73'
4
Luis Abram ↑ 89'
5
Santiago Sosa ↑ 73'
2
Ronald Hernandez
19
Miguel Berry ↑ 77'
28
Tyler Wolff
30
Machop Chol
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 77'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

Portland Timbers Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala
19
Eryk Williamson
5
Claudio Bravo ↓ Justin Rasmussen 69'
31
Aljaz Ivacic
13
Dario Zuparic
18
Zac McGraw ↓ Tega Ikoba 76'
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Marvin Loria 69'
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↓ Diego Gutierrez 76'
99
Nathan Fogaca
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Pablo Bonilla 82'

Bench

1
David Bingham
44
Marvin Loria ↑ 69'
28
Pablo Bonilla ↑ 82'
14
Justin Rasmussen ↑ 69'
16
Diego Gutierrez ↑ 76'
17
Tega Ikoba ↑ 76'

Coach Giovanni Savarese

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	4
Dairon Asprilla	2
Santiago Moreno	2
Thiago Almada	2
Luiz Araujo	1
Giorgos Giakoumakis	1
Julian Gressel	1
Larrys Mabiala	1

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers W 2023-03-11 Charlotte FC 0–3 Atlanta United FC W 2023-03-05 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC D 2023-02-26 Atlanta United FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes W 2022-10-09 Atlanta United FC 1–2 New York City FC L 2022-10-01 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC L

Portland Timbers Form

2023-03-18 Atlanta United FC 5–1 Portland Timbers L 2023-03-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 St. Louis City L 2023-03-04 Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers L 2023-02-28 Portland Timbers 1–0 Sporting Kansas City W 2022-10-09 Real Salt Lake 3–1 Portland Timbers L 2022-10-02 Portland Timbers 1–2 Los Angeles FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.27 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC57% Draw21% Portland Timbers22%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Portland Timbers

43%

Atlanta United FC or Portland Timbers

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC41% Draw38% Portland Timbers21%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

8.8%

3 – 1

6.6%

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 2

5.6%

1 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

3.8%

0 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	16%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	20%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.