FC Cincinnati vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Portland Timbers — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | St. Louis City | A | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | FC Dallas | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #22 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 67 | Scored | 62 |
| 75 | Conceded | 61 |
| -8 | GD | +1 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 35% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Portland Timbers gets underway.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Justin Rasmussen suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' Brazil international Evander has been a key figure this campaign — 11 goals and 7 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' A moment of madness from Larrys Mabiala on 20 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' Portland Timbers receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
- 32' Poor challenge from Obinna Nwobodo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 34' Magnificent from Sergio Santos! That is 34 goals in 301 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 39' Diego Chara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 44' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Obinna Nwobodo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nathan Fogaca made 304 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 58' GOAL! Brandon Vazquez fires home to make it 2-0!
- 60' Against the run of play, Dairon Asprilla has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' David Ayala makes way for Cristhian Paredes at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portland Timbers.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Dominique Badji. He replaces Sergio Santos on 63 minute.
- 68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Diego Chara on 72 minutes.
- 73' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Franck Boli is withdrawn and Nathan Fogaca gets his opportunity.
- 77' Alvas Powell is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raymon Gaddis at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' Raymon Gaddis is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portland Timbers tonight.
- 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yerson Mosquera.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Jaroslaw Niezgoda. He replaces Dairon Asprilla on 85 minute.
- 89' Malik Pinto is replacing Luciano Acosta for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 90' Zac McGraw picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Portland Timbers.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Malik Pinto 89'
- 93
- 19
- 31
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Marco Angulo 89'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Dominique Badji 63'
- 15
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↓ Alvas Powell 77'
- 18
Bench
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 63'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 77'
- 1
- 29
- 32
-
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 89'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 89'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 20
- 21
- 33
- 27
- 31
-
7
Franck Boli ↓ Nathan Fogaca 73'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 62'
- 18
- 30
-
14
Justin Rasmussen ↓ Eric Miller 62'
- 29
Bench
-
22
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 62'
- 44
-
15
Eric Miller ↑ 62'
- 28
- 26
-
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↑ 85'
- 16
- 17
-
99
Nathan Fogaca ↑ 73'
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Kendall Waston | 1 |
| Allan Cruz | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Portland Timbers Form
2023-04-22
FC Cincinnati
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2023-04-16
Portland Timbers
4–1
Seattle Sounders FC
W
2023-04-09
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
1–0
Portland Timbers
L
2023-04-02
FC Dallas
1–1
Portland Timbers
D
2023-03-25
Portland Timbers
0–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2023-03-18
Atlanta United FC
5–1
Portland Timbers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Portland Timbers xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
77%
Draw or Portland Timbers
45%
FC Cincinnati or Portland Timbers
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
6%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Portland Timbers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.