FC Cincinnati vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Portland Timbers — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | St. Louis City | A | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | FC Dallas | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #23 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 8 |
| 45 | Scored | 33 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +1 | GD | +0 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
6%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
4/5
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/–
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome Portland Timbers for this crunch clash at TQL Stadium.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Brandon Vazquez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portland Timbers tonight.
- 15' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Diego Chara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' A moment of madness from Larrys Mabiala on 20 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
- 25' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. Portland Timbers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dairon Asprilla on 30.
- 32' Obinna Nwobodo was booked on 32.
- 34' Sergio Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
- 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 49' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' Brandon Vazquez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
- 60' Magnificent from Dairon Asprilla! That is 35 goals in 288 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 62' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 62 minute. David Ayala leaves to be changed by Cristhian Paredes.
- 63' Dominique Badji has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sergio Santos on 63 minute.
- 68' Yerson Mosquera has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 72' Portland Timbers receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 72.
- 73' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 73 minute. Franck Boli leaves to be changed by Nathan Fogaca.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Raymon Gaddis is replaced by Alvas Powell.
- 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yerson Mosquera on 84.
- 85' Jaroslaw Niezgoda is replacing Dairon Asprilla for the Portland Timbers side.
- 89' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Luciano Acosta exits the field as Malik Pinto enters on 89.
- 90' Zac McGraw is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Malik Pinto 89'
- 93
- 19
- 31
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Marco Angulo 89'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Dominique Badji 63'
- 15
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↓ Alvas Powell 77'
- 18
Bench
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 63'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 77'
- 1
- 29
- 32
-
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 89'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 89'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 20
- 21
- 33
- 27
- 31
-
7
Franck Boli ↓ Nathan Fogaca 73'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 62'
- 18
- 30
-
14
Justin Rasmussen ↓ Eric Miller 62'
- 29
Bench
-
22
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 62'
- 44
-
15
Eric Miller ↑ 62'
- 28
- 26
-
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↑ 85'
- 16
- 17
-
99
Nathan Fogaca ↑ 73'
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Jurgen Locadia | 1 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Portland Timbers Form
2023-04-22
FC Cincinnati
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2023-04-16
Portland Timbers
4–1
Seattle Sounders FC
W
2023-04-09
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
1–0
Portland Timbers
L
2023-04-02
FC Dallas
1–1
Portland Timbers
D
2023-03-25
Portland Timbers
0–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2023-03-18
Atlanta United FC
5–1
Portland Timbers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.59
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Portland Timbers xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or Portland Timbers
42%
FC Cincinnati or Portland Timbers
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
3.5%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Portland Timbers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 19% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.