Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 14:15 UTC Olimpic Lluis Companys 50,319 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Kylian Mbappe pen
0–2 14' Kylian Mbappe
Eric Garcia 19' 1–2
Lamine Yamal 32' 2–2
Raphinha 34' 3–2
Raphinha 45' 4–2
4–3 70' Kylian Mbappe

Overview

Match Preview

FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Olimpic Lluis Companys.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Marcos Cerdan Aguilar
7 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
06 May FC Internazionale Milano A 3–4 L
03 May Real Valladolid CF A 2–1 W
30 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 3–3 D
22 Apr RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
19 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May FC Barcelona A 3–4 L
04 May RC Celta de Vigo H 3–2 W
23 Apr Getafe CF A 1–0 W
20 Apr Athletic Club H 1–0 W
16 Apr Arsenal FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Deportivo Alavés A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Barcelona Real Madrid CF
#1 Position #4
21 Points 15
7 Played 7
7 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
31 Scored 18
7 Conceded 8
+24 GD +10
3.00 PPG 2.14
100% Win % 71%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FC Barcelona this season
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

FC Barcelona are 1st (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Barcelona
0-15
4/1
16-30
6/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
5/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Barcelona
Raphinha 12 G 2 A
Lamine Yamal 7 G 4 A
Fermin Lopez 4 G 2 A
Karim Adeyemi 2 G 2 A
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.23 FC Barcelona xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Barcelona61% Draw18% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: FC Barcelona win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 5.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

FC Barcelona or Draw
79%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
39%
FC Barcelona or Real Madrid CF
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Barcelona49% Draw31% Real Madrid CF20%
Actual: FC Barcelona win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.6%
1 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Barcelona

Handicap FC Barcelona covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 17% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 18% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 10% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Barcelona keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.