FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2024-25

FC Barcelona

4 – 3

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Sun 11 May 2025 · 14:15 UTC Olimpic Lluis Companys 50,319 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 5' Kylian Mbappe pen

0–2 14' Kylian Mbappe

Eric Garcia 19' 1–2

Lamine Yamal 32' 2–2

Raphinha 34' 3–2

Raphinha 45' 4–2

4–3 70' Kylian Mbappe

Y 29' Federico Valverde

Y 37' Aurelien Tchouameni

Ronald Araujo 44' Y

Y 50' Raul

Inigo Martinez 55' Y

Pedri 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Olimpic Lluis Companys.

FC Barcelona 38 games · 94 pts (2026/27)
Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
Assistant 2 Marcos Cerdan Aguilar

12 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 5.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	38	94
2	Real Madrid CF	38	86
3	Villarreal CF	38	72
4	Club Atletico de Madrid	38	69
5	Real Betis Balompie	38	60
6	RC Celta de Vigo	38	54
7	Getafe CF	38	51
8	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	38	50
9	Valencia CF	38	49
10	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	38	46
11	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	38	46
12	Athletic Club	38	45
13	Elche CF	38	43
14	Deportivo Alaves	38	43
15	Sevilla FC	38	43
16	CA Osasuna	38	42
17	RCD Mallorca	38	42
18	Levante UD	38	42
19	Girona FC	38	41
20	Real Oviedo	38	29

Head-to-Head

FC Barcelona 16 games · Avg 3.4 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-11 FC Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-10-26 Real Madrid CF 0–4 FC Barcelona 2024-04-21 Real Madrid CF 3–2 FC Barcelona 2023-10-28 FC Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-03-19 FC Barcelona 2–1 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

FC Barcelona

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Real Madrid CF	H	4–3	W
06 May	FC Internazionale Milano	A	3–4	L
03 May	Real Valladolid CF	A	2–1	W
30 Apr	FC Internazionale Milano	H	3–3	D
22 Apr	RCD Mallorca	H	1–0	W
19 Apr	RC Celta de Vigo	H	4–3	W

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	FC Barcelona	A	3–4	L
04 May	RC Celta de Vigo	H	3–2	W
23 Apr	Getafe CF	A	1–0	W
20 Apr	Athletic Club	H	1–0	W
16 Apr	Arsenal FC	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Deportivo Alaves	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

FC Barcelona		Real Madrid CF
#1	Position	#2
94	Points	86
38	Played	38
31 / 1 / 6	W / D / L	27 / 5 / 6
95	Scored	77
36	Conceded	35
+59	GD	+42
2.47	PPG	2.26
82%	Win %	71%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Barcelona are 1st (94 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FC Barcelona gets underway.
5' Kylian Mbappe does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
14' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kylian Mbappe makes it 0-2.
19' GOAL! Eric Garcia fires home to make it 1-2!
24' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
29' Federico Valverde was booked on 29.
32' What a strike from Lamine Yamal! The score is 2-2.
34' Raphinha puts FC Barcelona on the lead.
37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aurelien Tchouameni on 37 minutes.
42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Barcelona side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
44' Controversy at the stadium! Ronald Araujo argues furiously but the card stands.
45' Raphinha doubles the advantage! 4-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
46' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Arda Guler is replaced by Brahim Diaz.
50' Raul picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
55' Inigo Martinez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
57' The supporters are chanting for Andreas Christensen. He replaces Gerard Martin on 57 minute.
62' Frenkie de Jong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 480 appearances.
67' A quiet spell here at Olimpic Lluis Companys. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
70' A stunning finish from Kylian Mbappe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
77' FC Barcelona manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fermin Lopez is hanging Dani Olmo on the field on 77 minute.
82' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
84' The crowd applauds Lucas Vazquez as he leaves the pitch. Endrick steps in for Real Madrid CF.
87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pedri on 87 minutes.
88' Victor Munoz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vinicius Junior at the 88 minute mark.
89' Pablo Gavira is replacing Ferran Torres for the FC Barcelona side.
Real Madrid CF will have plenty to reflect on. FC Barcelona were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Barcelona Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

21
Frenkie de Jong
7
Ferran Torres ↓ Pablo Gavira 89'
5
Inigo Martinez
25
Wojciech Szczesny
11
Raphinha
20
Dani Olmo ↓ Fermin Lopez 77'
24
Eric Garcia ↓ Hector Fort 77'
8
Pedri
19
Lamine Yamal
2
Pau Cubarsi ↓ Alex Balde 57'
35
Gerard Martin ↓ Andreas Christensen 57'

Bench

Coach Hansi Flick

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 46'
13
Andriy Lunin
10
Luka Modric ↑ 46'
18
Jesus Vallejo
11
Rodrygo
16
Endrick ↑ 84'
34
Sergio Mestre
31
Jacobo Ramon
29
Yusi
44
Victor Munoz ↑ 88'

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kylian Mbappe	3
Jude Bellingham	3
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	3
Ferran Torres	3
Raphinha	3
Luis Suarez	3
Karim Benzema	2
Vinicius Junior	2

Head to Head

FC Barcelona Form

2025-05-11 FC Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-05-06 FC Internazionale Milano 4–3 FC Barcelona L 2025-05-03 Real Valladolid CF 1–2 FC Barcelona W 2025-04-30 FC Barcelona 3–3 FC Internazionale Milano D 2025-04-22 FC Barcelona 1–0 RCD Mallorca W 2025-04-19 FC Barcelona 4–3 RC Celta de Vigo W

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-05-11 FC Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid CF L 2025-05-04 Real Madrid CF 3–2 RC Celta de Vigo W 2025-04-23 Getafe CF 0–1 Real Madrid CF W 2025-04-20 Real Madrid CF 1–0 Athletic Club W 2025-04-16 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Arsenal FC L 2025-04-13 Deportivo Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid CF W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.3 FC Barcelona xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Barcelona51% Draw22% Real Madrid CF27%

Actual: FC Barcelona win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 4.03

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

FC Barcelona or Draw

73%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

49%

FC Barcelona or Real Madrid CF

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Barcelona38% Draw37% Real Madrid CF25%

Actual: FC Barcelona win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 1

7.9%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

3 – 1

3 – 2

5.1%

2 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

3.9%

1 – 0

3.7%

3 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Barcelona

Handicap	FC Barcelona covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	19%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	14%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Barcelona keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.