Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC PortoPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
20 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar FC Porto H 2–2 D
02 Mar Gil Vicente FC A 2–1 W
25 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
21 Feb AVS H 3–0 W
17 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
13 Feb CD Santa Clara A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 2–2 D
27 Feb FC Arouca H 3–1 W
22 Feb Rio Ave FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb CD Nacional A 1–0 W
09 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
02 Feb Casa Pia AC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Sport Lisboa e Benfica FC Porto
#3 Position #1
80 Points 88
34 Played 34
23 / 11 / 0 W / D / L 28 / 4 / 2
74 Scored 66
25 Conceded 18
+49 GD +48
2.35 PPG 2.59
68% Win % 82%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season
62% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season

Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 3rd (80 pts). FC Porto are 1st (88 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica
0-15
6/
16-30
4/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Porto
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.4 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 FC Porto xG
I would bet for: Sport Lisboa e Benfica or FC Porto 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sport Lisboa e Benfica41% Draw28% FC Porto31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Porto
59%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or FC Porto
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sport Lisboa e Benfica28% Draw47% FC Porto25%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push FC Porto covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
28%
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.