Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct FC Arouca H 5–0 W
21 Oct Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
05 Oct FC Porto A 0–0 D
30 Sep Chelsea FC A 0–1 L
26 Sep Gil Vicente FC H 2–1 W
23 Sep Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–5 L
05 Oct FC Famalicão H 1–1 D
29 Sep FC Porto H 0–4 L
20 Sep CD Nacional A 2–1 W
14 Sep Casa Pia AC H 0–2 L
30 Aug Vitória SC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sport Lisboa e Benfica FC Arouca
#3 Position #8
80 Points 42
34 Played 34
23 / 11 / 0 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
74 Scored 47
25 Conceded 64
+49 GD -17
2.35 PPG 1.24
68% Win % 35%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 3rd (80 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica
0-15
6/
16-30
4/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.42 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 79% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica79% Draw13% FC Arouca8%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
92%
Draw or FC Arouca
21%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or FC Arouca
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica68% Draw27% FC Arouca5%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
4 – 0
9.5%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
6.5%
5 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
1 – 1
4.4%
5 – 1
4.3%
6 – 0
3.8%
0 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 51% 49%
-2 51% 20% 29%
-1.5 71% 29%
-1 71% 16% 13%
-0.5 87% 13%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
52%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
4%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.