Saturday , 14 November 2026

Empoli FC vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 – 1
Full Time
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 12,393 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Matias Soule

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AS Roma — Serie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Vito Mastrodonato
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar AS Roma H 0–1 L
02 Mar Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
23 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–5 L
16 Feb Udinese Calcio A 0–3 L
08 Feb AC Milan H 0–2 L
02 Feb Juventus FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Empoli FC A 1–0 W
06 Mar Athletic Club H 2–1 W
02 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
24 Feb AC Monza H 4–0 W
20 Feb FC Porto H 3–2 W
16 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Carlo Castellani. Empoli FC are looking to make home advantage count against AS Roma.
  • 1' Matias Soule is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 6' Emmanuel Gyasi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Angelino, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Carlo Castellani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 21' It looks surprising AS Roma does not make any changes. Sebastiano Esposito has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' Anass Salah-Eddine, a Morocco defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for Empoli FC to replace Lorenzo Colombo by Christian Kouame on 46 minute.
  • 51' Bryan Cristante has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 538 appearances.
  • 56' Empoli FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against AS Roma's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roberto D'Aversa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 65' Saud Abdulhamid makes way for Devyne Rensch at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Roma.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Empoli FC. Liam Henderson is replaced by Ismael Konate.
  • 71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Empoli FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 72' The AS Roma manager makes a substitution. Eldor Shomurodov departs to be replaced by Artem Dovbyk.
  • 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tommaso Baldanzi is hanging Matias Soule on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Empoli FC — Thomas Campaniello on, Saba Goglichidze off on 86 minutes.
  • Another three points for AS Roma.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.81 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC21% Draw28% AS Roma51%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
49%
Draw or AS Roma
79%
Empoli FC or AS Roma
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC14% Draw49% AS Roma37%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 25% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 17% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
45% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.