Sunday , 16 August 2026

Empoli FC vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 1
Full Time
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 12,393 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Matias Soule

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AS RomaSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Vito Mastrodonato

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar AS Roma H 0–1 L
02 Mar Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
23 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–5 L
16 Feb Udinese Calcio A 0–3 L
08 Feb AC Milan H 0–2 L
02 Feb Juventus FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Empoli FC A 1–0 W
06 Mar Athletic Club H 2–1 W
02 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
24 Feb AC Monza H 4–0 W
20 Feb FC Porto H 3–2 W
16 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadio Carlo Castellani as Empoli FC face off against AS Roma in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 1' Matias Soule makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and AS Roma are in front.
  • 6' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Claudio Ranieri will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 11' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 16' Empoli FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
  • 21' It looks like no one’s ball. Empoli FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 26' The 32-year-old Leandro Paredes has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 31' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 36' Alberto Grassi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Empoli FC so far.
  • 41' Empoli FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against AS Roma's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 46' Empoli FC make a change. Lorenzo Colombo trudges off to be replaced by Christian Kouame on 46 minutes.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' The travelling AS Roma supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' AS Roma make a change. Saud Abdulhamid trudges off to be replaced by Devyne Rensch on 65 minutes.
  • 66' The whistle greets Liam Henderson as he departs to be replaced by Ismael Konate.
  • 71' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 72' AS Roma ring the changes. Eldor Shomurodov has done his job and it is now time for Artem Dovbyk to step up.
  • 77' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 81' AS Roma ring the changes. Matias Soule has done his job and it is now time for Tommaso Baldanzi to step up.
  • 86' Another substitution for Empoli FC to replace Saba Goglichidze by Thomas Campaniello on 86 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.81 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC21% Draw28% AS Roma51%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
49%
Draw or AS Roma
79%
Empoli FC or AS Roma
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC14% Draw49% AS Roma37%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 25% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 17% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
22%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.