Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Roma vs FC Porto, Europe 2024-25 PLAYOFFS

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
3 – 2
Full Time
Thu 20 Feb 2025 · 17:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs FC Porto — Europe at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
13 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb FC Porto H 3–2 W
16 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W
13 Feb FC Porto A 1–1 D
09 Feb Venezia FC A 1–0 W
02 Feb SSC Napoli H 1–1 D
30 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb AS Roma A 2–3 L
16 Feb SC Farense A 1–0 W
13 Feb AS Roma H 1–1 D
07 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
03 Feb Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
30 Jan Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma FC Porto
#8 Position #5
16 Points 17
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 2 / 1
13 Scored 13
6 Conceded 7
+7 GD +6
2.00 PPG 2.13
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 8th (16 pts). FC Porto are 5th (17 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AS Roma and FC Porto is underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pepe, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Daniel Namaso is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AS Roma.
  • 15' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Goncalo Borges has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Otavio Ataide has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 393 appearances.
  • 26' Otavio Ataide has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 26.
  • 27' What a strike from Samu Omorodion! The score is 0-1.
  • 29' AS Roma player sees a card in front of him.
  • 32' The referee shows FC Porto player a card on 32.
  • 35' Brilliant from the ! Paulo Dybala makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 35.
  • 39' Paulo Dybala doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a card for Martin Anselmi.
  • 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 51' FC Porto player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' Another change for FC Porto made on 56 minute. Pepe leaves to be changed by Goncalo Borges.
  • 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 65' The FC Porto bench stirs into life. Otavio Ataide is withdrawn and Rodrigo Mora gets his opportunity.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Stephan El Shaarawy made 533 appearances and scored 36 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' It’s high time Claudio Ranieri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 78' Niccolo Pisilli gets the nod from AS Roma. He replaces Lorenzo Pellegrini and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' A change in the FC Porto ranks — Moura exits the field as Daniel Namaso enters on 82.
  • 83' Niccolo Pisilli is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 87' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Paulo Dybala is replaced by Tommaso Baldanzi.
  • 90' The referee shows FC Porto player a card on 90.
  • FC Porto will have plenty to reflect on. AS Roma were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 FC Porto xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma47% Draw26% FC Porto27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Porto
53%
AS Roma or FC Porto
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma31% Draw47% FC Porto22%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push FC Porto covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.