Thursday , 2 July 2026

Empoli FC vs AS Roma, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
2 1
Full Time
Sun 26 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'
Matteo Cancellieri 13' 1–0
1–1 45+1' Houssem Aouar
M'Baye Niang 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AS RomaSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Alberto Tegoni
  • Assistant 2 Luigi Rossi
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
19 May Udinese Calcio A 1–1 D
12 May SS Lazio A 0–2 L
05 May Frosinone Calcio H 0–0 D
28 Apr Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
20 Apr SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 May Empoli FC A 1–2 L
19 May Genoa CFC H 1–0 W
12 May Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
09 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
05 May Juventus FC H 1–1 D
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Empoli FC welcome AS Roma for this crunch clash at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
  • 2' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Emmanuel Gyasi on 2 minutes.
  • 7' Empoli FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 12' It looks surprising Empoli FC does not make any changes. Liberato Cacace has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 13' What composure from Matteo Cancellieri! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 18' The 26-year-old Evan N'Dicka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' AS Roma fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' That looks like a foul for a card for Mattia Destro.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Empoli FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' What a moment for Houssem Aouar! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Empoli FC make a change. Mattia Destro trudges off to be replaced by M'Baye Niang on 46 minutes.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Empoli FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 55' The Empoli FC bench stirs into life. Simone Bastoni is withdrawn and Jacopo Fazzini gets his opportunity.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gianluca Mancini made 525 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' Francesco Caputo gets the nod from Empoli FC. He replaces Bartosz Bereszynski and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Houssem Aouar is withdrawn and Lorenzo Pellegrini gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Edoardo Bove is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Empoli FC tonight.
  • 77' The Empoli FC manager makes a substitution. Youssef Maleh departs to be replaced by Nicolo Cambiaghi.
  • 80' Stephan El Shaarawy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicola Zalewski on 80 minute.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Razvan Marin. He receives a card.
  • 86' Empoli FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
  • 88' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Paulo Dybala is replaced by Joao Costa on 88 minute.
  • 90' Joao Costa picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Full Time. Empoli FC beats AS Roma

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Empoli FC or AS Roma 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC38% Draw27% AS Roma35%
Actual: Empoli FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
65%
Draw or AS Roma
62%
Empoli FC or AS Roma
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC26% Draw46% AS Roma28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
24%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.