Friday , 16 October 2026

Empoli FC vs AS Roma, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 26 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'
Matteo Cancellieri 13' 1–0
1–1 45+1' Houssem Aouar
M'Baye Niang 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AS Roma — Serie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Alberto Tegoni
  • Assistant 2 Luigi Rossi
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
19 May Udinese Calcio A 1–1 D
12 May SS Lazio A 0–2 L
05 May Frosinone Calcio H 0–0 D
28 Apr Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
20 Apr SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 May Empoli FC A 1–2 L
19 May Genoa CFC H 1–0 W
12 May Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
09 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
05 May Juventus FC H 1–1 D
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Empoli FC gets underway.
  • 2' That is a card for Empoli FC. Emmanuel Gyasi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 7' The travelling AS Roma supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 12' Lorenzo Pellegrini has been relatively quiet despite scoring 47 goals in his last 533 appearances.
  • 13' Empoli FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matteo Cancellieri on 13.
  • 18' A quiet spell here at Stadio Carlo Castellani. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 23' The 24-year-old Nicola Zalewski has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 533 games and scored 622 goals.
  • 33' AS Roma started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Mattia Destro argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' What composure from Houssem Aouar! The Algeria international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 46' The Empoli FC manager makes a substitution. Mattia Destro departs to be replaced by M'Baye Niang.
  • 51' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 55' The crowd applauds Simone Bastoni as he leaves the pitch. Jacopo Fazzini steps in for Empoli FC.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bartosz Bereszynski, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Carlo Castellani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' The Empoli FC bench stirs into life. Bartosz Bereszynski is withdrawn and Francesco Caputo gets his opportunity.
  • 70' Lorenzo Pellegrini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Houssem Aouar at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' Bryan Cristante needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 77' Nicolo Cambiaghi is replacing Youssef Maleh for the Empoli FC side.
  • 80' A tactical swap from AS Roma — Stephan El Shaarawy on, Nicola Zalewski off on 80 minutes.
  • 81' Razvan Marin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
  • 86' Both keepers have barely been tested. Empoli FC and AS Roma are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 88' Paulo Dybala makes way for Joao Costa at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Roma.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Joao Costa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The points are shared — Empoli FC 2-1 AS Roma. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Empoli FC or AS Roma 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC38% Draw27% AS Roma35%
Actual: Empoli FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
65%
Draw or AS Roma
62%
Empoli FC or AS Roma
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC26% Draw46% AS Roma28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.