Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Empoli FC vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 – 1
Full Time
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 12,393 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Matias Soule

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AS Roma — Serie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Vito Mastrodonato
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar AS Roma H 0–1 L
02 Mar Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
23 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–5 L
16 Feb Udinese Calcio A 0–3 L
08 Feb AC Milan H 0–2 L
02 Feb Juventus FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Empoli FC A 1–0 W
06 Mar Athletic Club H 2–1 W
02 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
24 Feb AC Monza H 4–0 W
20 Feb FC Porto H 3–2 W
16 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadio Carlo Castellani that hosts another battle between Empoli FC and AS Roma.
  • 1' What composure from Matias Soule! The Argentina international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 6' The 31-year-old Eldor Shomurodov has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' Empoli FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
  • 31' Devyne Rensch has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 36' Giuseppe Pezzella has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 461 appearances.
  • 41' Empoli FC is showing some good football. However, Empoli FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Empoli FC team. Lorenzo Colombo is replaced by Christian Kouame on 46 minute.
  • 51' AS Roma fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lorenzo Colombo made 521 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' AS Roma ring the changes. Saud Abdulhamid has done his job and it is now time for Devyne Rensch to step up.
  • 66' Another substitution for Empoli FC to replace Liam Henderson by Ismael Konate on 66 minute.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Empoli FC that had 385 games and scored 236 goals.
  • 72' AS Roma ring the changes. Eldor Shomurodov has done his job and it is now time for Artem Dovbyk to step up.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' A change in the AS Roma ranks — Matias Soule exits the field as Tommaso Baldanzi enters on 81.
  • 86' The whistle greets Saba Goglichidze as he departs to be replaced by Thomas Campaniello.
  • AS Roma celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.81 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC21% Draw28% AS Roma51%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
49%
Draw or AS Roma
79%
Empoli FC or AS Roma
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC14% Draw49% AS Roma37%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 25% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 17% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
45% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.