Sunday , 16 August 2026

UC Sampdoria vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
1 2
Full Time
Sat 10 Sep 2022 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Luigi Ferraris HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UC Sampdoria vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Referee Stefano Liberti
  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Referee Stefano Del Giovane
  • Referee Salvatore Longo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep AC Milan H 1–2 L
04 Sep Hellas Verona FC A 1–2 L
31 Aug SS Lazio H 1–1 D
28 Aug US Salernitana 1919 A 0–4 L
22 Aug Juventus FC H 0–0 D
13 Aug Atalanta BC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep UC Sampdoria A 2–1 W
06 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–1 D
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 3–2 W
30 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–0 D
27 Aug Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
21 Aug Atalanta BC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' UC Sampdoria have kicked off against AC Milan. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 6' Brilliant from the ! Junior Messias makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 6.
  • 11' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 16' It’s high time Marco Giampaolo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 17' Rafael Leao was booked on 17.
  • 21' Brilliant from the ! Charles De Ketelaere makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 21.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UC Sampdoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' UC Sampdoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 41' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 46 minutes.
  • 47' Rafael Leao picks up a Red card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 52' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 54' UC Sampdoria receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 57' The deadlock is broken! Filip Duricic gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
  • 59' A tactical swap from AC MilanFikayo Tomori on, Junior Messias off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 66' Gonzalo Villar has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 66.
  • 67' The France Olivier Giroud breaks the deadlock on 67 minutes. 1-3!
  • 71' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Charles De Ketelaere is replaced by Ismael Bennacer on 71 minute.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 78' AC Milan make a change. Tommaso Pobega trudges off to be replaced by Aster Vranckx on 78 minutes.
  • 83' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Giampaolo might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 86' Another substitution for UC Sampdoria to replace Gonzalo Villar by Ronaldo Vieira on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fabio Quagliarella on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 UC Sampdoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UC Sampdoria28% Draw30% AC Milan42%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

UC Sampdoria or Draw
57%
Draw or AC Milan
72%
UC Sampdoria or AC Milan
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UC Sampdoria21% Draw52% AC Milan27%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.4%
0 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — UC Sampdoria

Handicap UC Sampdoria covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
31%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.