Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ES Troyes AC vs AC Ajaccio, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:00 UTC Matmut Atlantique HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs AC Ajaccio — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.

Match Details

  • Referee Eddy Rosier
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AC Ajaccio H 0–0 D
05 Apr Red Star FC H 2–2 D
28 Mar FC Metz A 1–2 L
14 Mar En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
07 Mar Pau FC A 2–0 W
28 Feb SC Bastia H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr ES Troyes AC A 0–0 D
04 Apr Amiens SC H 2–1 W
28 Mar FC Martigues A 0–2 L
14 Mar Red Star FC H 2–1 W
07 Mar Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–2 D
03 Mar USL Dunkerque H 1–2 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AC Ajaccio gets underway.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His ES Troyes AC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Nicolas de Preville is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ES Troyes AC tonight.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' It looks surprising ES Troyes AC does not make any changes. Abdoulaye Kante has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' AC Ajaccio have won 241 goals from 402 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Cyriaque Irie is booked for ES Troyes AC — card on 38.
  • 43' AC Ajaccio come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 53' Matthieu Huard has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' AC Ajaccio receives a card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 58' Time for substitution for ES Troyes AC. Martin Adeline is replaced by Mouhamed Diop.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Houboulang Mendes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' AC Ajaccio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 71' Mounaim El Idrissy makes way for Nicolas de Preville at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from ES Troyes AC.
  • 76' The home supporters are growing impatient. ES Troyes AC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 80' Aboubakary Kante makes way for Ben Hamed Toure at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Ajaccio.
  • 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 87' The ES Troyes AC bench stirs into life. Youssouf M'Changama is withdrawn and Mathys Detourbet gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mehdi Puch-Herrantz on 90 minutes.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: ES Troyes AC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC39% Draw31% AC Ajaccio30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
71%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
61%
ES Troyes AC or AC Ajaccio
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC27% Draw53% AC Ajaccio20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.