Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 30 Aug 2024 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel-Moretti HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes ACLigue 2 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L
10 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–2 L
03 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
23 Aug Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 0–4 L
17 May FC Annecy H 1–1 D
10 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 2–1 W
03 May Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Michel-Moretti that hosts another battle between AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC.
  • 5' ES Troyes AC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 12' ES Troyes AC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafiki Said Ahamada on 12.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' AC Ajaccio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' It’s a booking for AC Ajaccio player. Moussa Soumano gets a card.
  • 30' The travelling ES Troyes AC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' The referee calls foul for Axel Bamba. He receives a card.
  • 35' AC Ajaccio player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Clement Vidal made 417 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Mathis Hamdi.
  • 46' Another substitution for AC Ajaccio to replace Axel Bamba by Michael Barreto on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 52' GOAL! Christopher Ibayi scores on 52.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' Another change for AC Ajaccio made on 61 minute. Moussa Soumano leaves to be changed by Yoann Touzghar.
  • 65' Another change for ES Troyes AC made on 65 minute. Cyriaque Irie leaves to be changed by Mehdi Tahrat.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ES Troyes AC that had 445 games and scored 360 goals.
  • 74' Another change for ES Troyes AC made on 74 minute. Rafiki Said Ahamada leaves to be changed by Pape Ibnou Ba.
  • 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 84' The referee shows AC Ajaccio player a card on 84.
  • 86' Another change for AC Ajaccio made on 86 minute. Julien Anziani leaves to be changed by Mehdi Puch-Herrantz.
  • 89' Sensational shot from Yoann Touzghar. AC Ajaccio is back in the lead.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Michael Barreto. He receives a card.
  • 90' Another substitution for ES Troyes AC to replace Michel Diaz by Renaud Ripart on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. AC Ajaccio beats ES Troyes AC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio50% Draw27% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
76%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
50%
AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio33% Draw47% ES Troyes AC20%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
35%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.