Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 30 Aug 2024 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel-Moretti HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 2 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L
10 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–2 L
03 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
23 Aug Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 0–4 L
17 May FC Annecy H 1–1 D
10 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 2–1 W
03 May Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Ajaccio host ES Troyes AC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Mehdi Tahrat is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Ajaccio so far.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 12' Rafiki Said Ahamada makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and ES Troyes AC are in front.
  • 17' With 0 assists to his name this season, Thomas Mangani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Ajaccio.
  • 22' Jesah Ayessa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Moussa Soumano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
  • 30' AC Ajaccio is showing some good football. However, AC Ajaccio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Axel Bamba on 34.
  • 35' It’s gonna be a card for Julien Anziani.
  • 40' The 27-year-old Julien Anziani has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Mathis Hamdi on 45 minutes earns him a card. ES Troyes AC will be frustrated.
  • 46' A change in the AC Ajaccio ranks — Axel Bamba exits the field as Michael Barreto enters on 46.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Ajaccio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 52' The deadlock is broken! Christopher Ibayi gets on the scoresheet on 52 minutes.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zacharie Boucher suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' Another change for AC Ajaccio made on 61 minute. Moussa Soumano leaves to be changed by Yoann Touzghar.
  • 65' ES Troyes AC make a change. Cyriaque Irie trudges off to be replaced by Mehdi Tahrat on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
  • 74' Pape Ibnou Ba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafiki Said Ahamada on 74 minute.
  • 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 84' Thomas Mangani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Julien Anziani as he leaves the pitch. Mehdi Puch-Herrantz steps in for AC Ajaccio.
  • 89' Against the run of play, Yoann Touzghar has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' That is a card for AC Ajaccio. Michael Barreto will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Renaud Ripart gets the nod from ES Troyes AC. He replaces Michel Diaz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • It finishes all square. AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio50% Draw27% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
76%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
50%
AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio33% Draw47% ES Troyes AC20%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.