Saturday , 14 November 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 – 0
Full Time
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 19:00 UTC Matmut Atlantique HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb SC Bastia H 2–0 W
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb FC Lorient H 0–1 L
07 Feb FC Martigues A 2–1 W
01 Feb SM Caen H 3–0 W
24 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Red Star FC H 1–0 W
14 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–1 D
07 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Metz H 1–1 D
24 Jan Pau FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ES Troyes AC and SC Bastia get this one started.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ES Troyes AC that had 454 games and scored 368 goals.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tom Ducrocq, as he is very good at scoring at Matmut Atlantique with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 12' Brilliant from the forward! Rafiki Said Ahamada makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 12.
  • 17' ES Troyes AC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' Ismaelben Boura catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 32.
  • 36' Adrien Monfray catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
  • 41' It’s high time Michel Moretti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Another substitution for SC Bastia to replace Lamine Cisse by Lisandru Tramoni on 46 minute.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ES Troyes AC and SC Bastia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 53' GOAL! Cyriaque Irie scores on 53. Assisted by Rafiki Said Ahamada
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dominique Guidi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' Anthony Roncaglia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Juan Guevara on 61 minutes.
  • 62' Another change for SC Bastia made on 62 minute. Jeremy Sebas leaves to be changed by Maxime Ble.
  • 67' ES Troyes AC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 71' It is a substitution in ES Troyes AC team. Pape Ibnou Ba is replaced by Jaures Assoumou on 71 minute.
  • 76' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' Tom Ducrocq was booked on 81.
  • 82' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Alexandre Phliponeau has done his job and it is now time for Abdoulaye Kante to step up.
  • 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' It is a substitution in ES Troyes AC team. Mouhamed Diop is replaced by Xavier Chavalerin on 89 minute.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Abdoulaye Kante.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Bastia.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC49% Draw28% SC Bastia23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
ES Troyes AC or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC32% Draw51% SC Bastia17%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.