Thursday , 2 July 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 0
Full Time
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 19:00 UTC Matmut Atlantique HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SC BastiaLigue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb SC Bastia H 2–0 W
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb FC Lorient H 0–1 L
07 Feb FC Martigues A 2–1 W
01 Feb SM Caen H 3–0 W
24 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Red Star FC H 1–0 W
14 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–1 D
07 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Metz H 1–1 D
24 Jan Pau FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

ES Troyes AC SC Bastia
#1 Position #3
67 Points 28
34 Played 34
20 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 13 / 16
60 Scored 23
33 Conceded 42
+27 GD -19
1.97 PPG 0.82
59% Win % 15%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ES Troyes AC are 1st (67 pts). SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. ES Troyes AC host SC Bastia — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. ES Troyes AC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 12' The deadlock is broken! Rafiki Said Ahamada gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
  • 17' The 22-year-old Zakaria Ariss has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ES Troyes AC and SC Bastia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 32' Ismaelben Boura is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
  • 36' ES Troyes AC receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' A tactical swap from SC BastiaLisandru Tramoni on, Lamine Cisse off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' SC Bastia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Cyriaque Irie — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 58' Michel Diaz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Bastia so far.
  • 60' SC Bastia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Juan Guevara on 61 minutes earns him a card. SC Bastia will be frustrated.
  • 62' Maxime Ble is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeremy Sebas at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Jaures Assoumou is replacing Pape Ibnou Ba for the ES Troyes AC side.
  • 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 81' It’s a booking for SC Bastia player. Tom Ducrocq gets a card.
  • 82' Abdoulaye Kante is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexandre Phliponeau at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' France international Adrien Monfray has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 89' The whistle greets Mouhamed Diop as he departs to be replaced by Xavier Chavalerin.
  • 90' Abdoulaye Kante picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The points are shared — ES Troyes AC 2-0 SC Bastia. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.88 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: ES Troyes AC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC62% Draw23% SC Bastia15%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
86%
Draw or SC Bastia
38%
ES Troyes AC or SC Bastia
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC45% Draw45% SC Bastia10%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 21% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 26% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
54%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.