Sunday , 16 August 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 0
Full Time
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 19:00 UTC Matmut Atlantique HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SC BastiaLigue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb SC Bastia H 2–0 W
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb FC Lorient H 0–1 L
07 Feb FC Martigues A 2–1 W
01 Feb SM Caen H 3–0 W
24 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Red Star FC H 1–0 W
14 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–1 D
07 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Metz H 1–1 D
24 Jan Pau FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! ES Troyes AC welcome SC Bastia for this crunch clash at Matmut Atlantique.
  • 5' ES Troyes AC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Bastia's shape.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 12' The deadlock is broken! Rafiki Said Ahamada gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
  • 17' Adrien Monfray has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 218 appearances.
  • 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stéphane Dumont might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' It looks surprising SC Bastia does not make any changes. Tom Meynadier has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' ES Troyes AC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 36' That is a card for ES Troyes AC. Adrien Monfray will be fuming at that decision.
  • 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both ES Troyes AC and SC Bastia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' Lisandru Tramoni gets the nod from SC Bastia. He replaces Lamine Cisse and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. ES Troyes AC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' Cyriaque Irie does the damage! The net is bulging and ES Troyes AC surge ahead!
  • 58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His ES Troyes AC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 60' The referee shows SC Bastia player a card on 60.
  • 61' Juan Guevara is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 62' Time for substitution for SC Bastia. Jeremy Sebas is replaced by Maxime Ble.
  • 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. ES Troyes AC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 71' A tactical swap from ES Troyes ACJaures Assoumou on, Pape Ibnou Ba off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' France international Alexandre Phliponeau has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Tom Ducrocq on 81 minutes earns him a card. SC Bastia will be frustrated.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Abdoulaye Kante. He replaces Alexandre Phliponeau on 82 minute.
  • 87' Both keepers have barely been tested. ES Troyes AC and SC Bastia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 89' ES Troyes AC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Xavier Chavalerin is hanging Mouhamed Diop on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Abdoulaye Kante. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The points are shared — ES Troyes AC 2-0 SC Bastia. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC49% Draw28% SC Bastia23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
ES Troyes AC or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC32% Draw51% SC Bastia17%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
43%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.