ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.
- ES Troyes AC 34 games · 67 pts (2026/27)
- SC Bastia 34 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | SC Bastia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | FC Lorient | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Feb | FC Martigues | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | SM Caen | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | ES Troyes AC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | Red Star FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Clermont Foot 63 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | FC Metz | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ES Troyes AC and SC Bastia get this one started.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ES Troyes AC that had 454 games and scored 368 goals.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tom Ducrocq, as he is very good at scoring at Matmut Atlantique with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 12' Brilliant from the forward! Rafiki Said Ahamada makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 12.
- 17' ES Troyes AC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' Ismaelben Boura catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 32.
- 36' Adrien Monfray catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
- 41' It’s high time Michel Moretti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Another substitution for SC Bastia to replace Lamine Cisse by Lisandru Tramoni on 46 minute.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ES Troyes AC and SC Bastia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 53' GOAL! Cyriaque Irie scores on 53. Assisted by Rafiki Said Ahamada
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dominique Guidi suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' Anthony Roncaglia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Juan Guevara on 61 minutes.
- 62' Another change for SC Bastia made on 62 minute. Jeremy Sebas leaves to be changed by Maxime Ble.
- 67' ES Troyes AC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' It is a substitution in ES Troyes AC team. Pape Ibnou Ba is replaced by Jaures Assoumou on 71 minute.
- 76' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 81' Tom Ducrocq was booked on 81.
- 82' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Alexandre Phliponeau has done his job and it is now time for Abdoulaye Kante to step up.
- 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 89' It is a substitution in ES Troyes AC team. Mouhamed Diop is replaced by Xavier Chavalerin on 89 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Abdoulaye Kante.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Bastia.
Lineups
ES Troyes AC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 16
- 17
- 10
- 26
-
25
Pape Ibnou Ba ↓ Jaures Assoumou 71'
- 14
- 11
- 8
- 4
- 21
Bench
- 1
-
7
Xavier Chavalerin ↑ 89'
- 23
- 27
-
42
Abdoulaye Kante ↑ 82'
-
15
Jaures Assoumou ↑ 71'
-
13
Mathys Detourbet ↑ 82'
Coach
Stéphane Dumont
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
-
11
Lamine Cisse ↓ Lisandru Tramoni 46'
- 4
- 30
- 10
-
22
Jeremy Sebas ↓ Maxime Ble 62'
-
24
Tom Meynadier ↓ Florian Bohnert 82'
-
2
Christ Inao Oulai ↓ Ayman Aiki 62'
-
17
Zakaria Ariss ↓ Jocelyn Janneh 46'
- 3
Bench
- 23
-
27
Lisandru Tramoni ↑ 46'
-
66
Jocelyn Janneh ↑ 46'
-
19
Ayman Aiki ↑ 62'
-
15
Florian Bohnert ↑ 82'
- 28
-
33
Maxime Ble ↑ 62'
Coach
Michel Moretti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Facinet Conte | 2 |
| Tanguy Zoukrou | 1 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 1 |
| Luka Ilic | 1 |
| Simon Elisor | 1 |
| Rafiki Said Ahamada | 1 |
| Cyriaque Irie | 1 |
| Nicolas de Preville | 1 |
Head to Head
ES Troyes AC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39
ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ES Troyes AC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
ES Troyes AC or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
ES Troyes AC or SC Bastia
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: ES Troyes AC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC
| Handicap | ES Troyes AC covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

