Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 – 0
Full Time
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 19:00 UTC Matmut Atlantique HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb SC Bastia H 2–0 W
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb FC Lorient H 0–1 L
07 Feb FC Martigues A 2–1 W
01 Feb SM Caen H 3–0 W
24 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Red Star FC H 1–0 W
14 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–1 D
07 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Metz H 1–1 D
24 Jan Pau FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for ES Troyes AC to score. At the same time, SC Bastia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 12' Magnificent from Rafiki Said Ahamada! That is 26 goals in 446 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stéphane Dumont will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Meynadier suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ismaelben Boura on 32 minutes.
  • 36' Adrien Monfray catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lisandru Tramoni, as he is very good at scoring at Matmut Atlantique with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' SC Bastia ring the changes. Lamine Cisse has done his job and it is now time for Lisandru Tramoni to step up.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 53' Cyriaque Irie has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 53 minutes.
  • 58' ES Troyes AC is showing some good football. However, ES Troyes AC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a card for Anthony Roncaglia.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Juan Guevara.
  • 62' The SC Bastia bench stirs into life. Jeremy Sebas is withdrawn and Maxime Ble gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Pape Ibnou Ba as he leaves the pitch. Jaures Assoumou steps in for ES Troyes AC.
  • 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Tom Ducrocq. He receives a card.
  • 82' Abdoulaye Kante has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexandre Phliponeau on 82 minute.
  • 87' ES Troyes AC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • 89' It is a substitution in ES Troyes AC team. Mouhamed Diop is replaced by Xavier Chavalerin on 89 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Abdoulaye Kante on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC49% Draw28% SC Bastia23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
ES Troyes AC or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC32% Draw51% SC Bastia17%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.