Monday , 28 September 2026

EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Mon 7 Sep 2026 · 23:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheuzinho 63' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
29 Aug CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
23 Aug EC Bahia H 0–2 L
16 Aug Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
30 Jul SE Palmeiras H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
30 Aug Chapecoense AF H 3–1 W
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
16 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
08 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Gremio FBPA
#13 Position #17
33 Points 29
28 Played 28
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 13
28 Scored 30
42 Conceded 38
-14 GD -8
1.18 PPG 1.04
32% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: EC Vitoria gets underway.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Argentina international Cristian Pavon has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ze Vitor made 180 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' Gremio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 36' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Cristian Pavon on 38 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Pedro Gabriel makes way for Caio Paulista at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 48' Caio Paulista catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Caique catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
  • 59' Erick Noriega was booked on 59.
  • 63' Carlos Rene makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and EC Vitoria are in front.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 69 minute. Cristian Pavon leaves to be changed by Juan Ignacio Nardoni.
  • 72' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Marinho.
  • 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 78' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Carlos Vinicius departs to be replaced by Martin Braithwaite.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a card for Gustavo Martins.
  • 81' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Diego Tarzia has done his job and it is now time for Fabricio to step up.
  • 82' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Caique by Edenilson on 82 minute.
  • 87' EC Vitoria currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Renato Kayzer gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Carlos Rene and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.08 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria38% Draw31% Gremio FBPA31%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
69%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
62%
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria24% Draw53% Gremio FBPA23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.