EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 28 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Chapecoense AF | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #17 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 13 |
| 28 | Scored | 30 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| -14 | GD | -8 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.04 |
| 32% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: EC Vitoria gets underway.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Argentina international Cristian Pavon has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ze Vitor made 180 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' Gremio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
- 38' A moment of madness from Cristian Pavon on 38 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Pedro Gabriel makes way for Caio Paulista at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 48' Caio Paulista catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 55' Caique catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
- 59' Erick Noriega was booked on 59.
- 63' Carlos Rene makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and EC Vitoria are in front.
- 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 69 minute. Cristian Pavon leaves to be changed by Juan Ignacio Nardoni.
- 72' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Marinho.
- 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 78' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Carlos Vinicius departs to be replaced by Martin Braithwaite.
- 79' It’s gonna be a card for Gustavo Martins.
- 81' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Diego Tarzia has done his job and it is now time for Fabricio to step up.
- 82' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Caique by Edenilson on 82 minute.
- 87' EC Vitoria currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 90' Renato Kayzer gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Carlos Rene and will look to change the dynamic.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 33
- 36
- 2
- 83
- 1
- 98
- 10
- 95
- 12
- 88
- 91
Bench
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 79
- 11
- 71
- 70
- 18
- 26
- 41
- 9
Coach
Jair Ventura
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1
- 95
- 7
- 10
- 11
- 20
-
8
Erick Noriega ↓ Danilo Barbosa 69'
- 6
- 27
-
54
Pedro Gabriel ↓ Caio Paulista 46'
- 82
Bench
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 46'
- 2
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 78'
- 18
- 30
-
15
Danilo Barbosa ↑ 69'
- 12
- 3
-
5
Juan Ignacio Nardoni ↑ 69'
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↑ 69'
- 65
- 50
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Pepe | 1 |
| Jemerson | 1 |
| Douglas | 1 |
| Carlinhos | 1 |
| Jailson | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.08
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
69%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
62%
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

