Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 21:30 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Gilberto 20' Y
Y 41' Leo
Y 73' Gary Medel
Vitor Hugo 89' Y
R 90' Jair

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–1 D
27 Aug Botafogo FR A 0–3 L
20 Aug RB Bragantino H 4–0 W
13 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
06 Aug America FC H 3–1 W
30 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep EC Bahia A 1–1 D
27 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
20 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
15 Aug RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
06 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
29 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia CR Vasco da Gama
#5 Position #16
46 Points 31
28 Played 27
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 12
43 Scored 34
35 Conceded 41
+8 GD -7
1.64 PPG 1.15
43% Win % 30%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Gilberto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 35' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 41' Leo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 41.
  • 45' Ademir Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 46' A tactical swap from CR Vasco da Gama — Dimitri Payet on, Gabriel Pec off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' CR Vasco da Gama come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' The whistle greets Leo Cittadini as he departs to be replaced by Gabriel Teixeira.
  • 64' Pablo Vegetti has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
  • 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Vitor Hugo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 73' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gary Medel on 73 minutes.
  • 78' EC Bahia make a change. Ademir Santos trudges off to be replaced by Vitor Jacare on 78 minutes.
  • 80' Jair is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gary Medel at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 50% of all matches.
  • 89' Vitor Hugo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jair is booked for CR Vasco da Gama — Red card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. EC Bahia and CR Vasco da Gama share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.85 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia to win 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia56% Draw25% CR Vasco da Gama19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
44%
EC Bahia or CR Vasco da Gama
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia42% Draw45% CR Vasco da Gama13%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.