Thursday , 2 July 2026

Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 00:00 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
16 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D
12 Apr RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Juventude H 2–0 W
30 Mar SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Fluminense FC
#12 Position #3
22 Points 31
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
31 Scored 28
31 Conceded 23
+0 GD +5
1.29 PPG 1.72
35% Win % 50%

Key Stats

28% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Botafogo FR host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' It’s high time Renato Paiva made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Cuiabano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Botafogo FR so far.
  • 15' Botafogo FR are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 16' Alexander Barboza picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 24' Poor challenge from Cuiabano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 29' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 37' Against the run of play, Vitinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 41' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Botafogo FR that had 341 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' A moment of madness from Juan Freytes on 56 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 58' Cuiabano makes way for Alex Telles at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
  • 59' Ganso was booked on 59.
  • 59' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Matheus Martins by Artur Guimaraes on 59 minute.
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lima is hanging Ganso on the field on 66 minute.
  • 68' Controversy at the stadium! Jhon Arias argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' Gregore has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 73' Elias Manoel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gonzalo Mastriani at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Botafogo FR and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Everaldo comes on to replace German Cano.
  • 82' Paulo Baya gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Martinelli and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Marlon Freitas has done his job and it is now time for Allan to step up.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jefferson Savarino is booked for Botafogo FR — card on 90.
  • Full Time. Botafogo FR beats Fluminense FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.82 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR53% Draw24% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
47%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR36% Draw43% Fluminense FC21%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
30%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.