Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | São Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 42 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 9 / 14 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 46 | Scored | 55 |
| 53 | Conceded | 42 |
| -7 | GD | +13 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Botafogo FR are 11th (42 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 10 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 6 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Botafogo FR have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 16' It’s a booking for Botafogo FR player. Alexander Barboza gets a card.
- 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 24' Cuiabano is having his name booked by the referee on 24.
- 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marlon Freitas, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nilton Santos with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 34' German Cano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
- 37' Vitinho puts Botafogo FR on the lead.
- 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Facundo Bernal on 41 minutes.
- 46' Igor Jesus, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 56' Poor challenge from Juan Freytes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 58' Botafogo FR manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alex Telles is hanging Cuiabano on the field on 58 minute.
- 59' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 59' Time for substitution for Botafogo FR. Matheus Martins is replaced by Artur Guimaraes.
- 64' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 66' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 66 minute. Ganso leaves to be changed by Lima.
- 68' Jhon Arias catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
- 71' It’s gonna be a card for Gregore.
- 73' The Botafogo FR manager makes a substitution. Gonzalo Mastriani departs to be replaced by Elias Manoel.
- 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 81' The crowd applauds German Cano as he leaves the pitch. Everaldo steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 82' Paulo Baya has so much to prove this time. He replaces Martinelli on 82 minute.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Allan. He replaces Marlon Freitas on 86 minute.
- 90' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 10
- 12
- 2
- 20
-
17
Marlon Freitas ↓ Allan 86'
- 39
- 11
-
66
Cuiabano ↓ Alex Telles 58'
- 32
- 99
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 59'
-
25
Allan ↑ 86'
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 58'
- 6
- 5
-
33
Elias Manoel ↑ 73'
- 9
- 24
- 47
- 18
- 28
- 4
Coach
Renato Paiva
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 81'
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Paulo Baya 82'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 66'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Nonato 66'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
-
16
Nonato ↑ 66'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 81'
-
45
Lima ↑ 66'
-
77
Paulo Baya ↑ 82'
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 66'
- 12
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kieza | 1 |
| Paulo Ganso | 1 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 1 |
| Digao | 1 |
| Matheus Martins | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Digao | 1 |
| Carlos Eduardo | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.53
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
76%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

