Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 21 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 30 | Points | 38 |
| 21 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 35 | Scored | 34 |
| 33 | Conceded | 28 |
| +2 | GD | +6 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 38% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Botafogo FR are 10th (30 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Botafogo FR are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 16' Controversy at the stadium! Alexander Barboza argues furiously but the card stands.
- 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 24' That looks like a foul for a card for Cuiabano.
- 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' GOAL! Vitinho fires home to make it 1-0!
- 41' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 41.
- 46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fabio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 389 games and scored 417 goals.
- 56' Juan Freytes was booked on 56.
- 58' Alex Telles is replacing Cuiabano for the Botafogo FR side.
- 59' Ganso catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 59.
- 59' Botafogo FR manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Artur Guimaraes is hanging Matheus Martins on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lima made 238 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ganso exits the field as Lima enters on 66.
- 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jhon Arias on 68 minutes.
- 71' Poor challenge from Gregore. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' Gonzalo Mastriani makes way for Elias Manoel at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
- 78' Juan Freytes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 81' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Everaldo on, German Cano off on 81 minutes.
- 82' Paulo Baya gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Martinelli and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Marlon Freitas is withdrawn and Allan gets his opportunity.
- 90' Jefferson Savarino is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 10
- 12
- 2
- 20
-
17
Marlon Freitas ↓ Allan 86'
- 39
- 11
-
66
Cuiabano ↓ Alex Telles 58'
- 32
- 99
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 59'
-
25
Allan ↑ 86'
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 58'
- 6
- 5
-
33
Elias Manoel ↑ 73'
- 9
- 24
- 47
- 18
- 28
- 4
Coach
Renato Paiva
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 81'
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Paulo Baya 82'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 66'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Nonato 66'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
-
16
Nonato ↑ 66'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 81'
-
45
Lima ↑ 66'
-
77
Paulo Baya ↑ 82'
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 66'
- 12
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Digao | 1 |
| Carlos Eduardo | 1 |
| German Cano | 1 |
| Alex Santana | 1 |
| Jefferson | 1 |
| Lima | 1 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 1 |
| Victor Leandro Cuesta | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.72
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
79%
Draw or Fluminense FC
46%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

