Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 00:00 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
16 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D
12 Apr RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Juventude H 2–0 W
30 Mar SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Fluminense FC
#12 Position #4
35 Points 48
28 Played 28
9 / 8 / 11 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
41 Scored 44
45 Conceded 36
-4 GD +8
1.25 PPG 1.71
32% Win % 46%

Key Stats

32% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
21% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (35 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 9 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Nilton Santos will turn into a battlefield for Botafogo FR and Fluminense FC.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Gregore is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 16' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 16.
  • 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 24' The referee calls foul for Cuiabano. He receives a card.
  • 29' Botafogo FR are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rene suffering a number of foals already.
  • 37' Magnificent from Vitinho! That is 10 goals in 362 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Facundo Bernal on 41 minutes.
  • 46' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 56.
  • 58' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Cuiabano is replaced by Alex Telles on 58 minute.
  • 59' Ganso catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 59.
  • 59' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Matheus Martins is withdrawn and Artur Guimaraes gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 66' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Ganso by Lima on 66 minute.
  • 68' It’s gonna be a card for Jhon Arias.
  • 71' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 71.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Gonzalo Mastriani is replaced by Elias Manoel on 73 minute.
  • 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' The whistle greets German Cano as he departs to be replaced by Everaldo.
  • 82' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Martinelli is withdrawn and Paulo Baya gets his opportunity.
  • 86' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Marlon Freitas is withdrawn and Allan gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Jefferson Savarino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR52% Draw25% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR34% Draw46% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.