Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 30 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 30 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 29 | 50 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 29 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 37 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 28 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 36 | Points | 51 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 9 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 7 |
| 43 | Scored | 48 |
| 48 | Conceded | 37 |
| -5 | GD | +11 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.70 |
| 30% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (36 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 9 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 5 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 6 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 5 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Botafogo FR gets underway.
- 5' It’s high time Renato Gaucho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Botafogo FR started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 16' Controversy at the stadium! Alexander Barboza argues furiously but the card stands.
- 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
- 24' The referee has no hesitation. Cuiabano is booked for Botafogo FR — card on 24.
- 29' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 34' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' Against the run of play, Vitinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 41' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
- 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cuiabano suffering a number of foals already.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' Poor challenge from Juan Freytes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 58' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Cuiabano is withdrawn and Alex Telles gets his opportunity.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Ganso.
- 59' Another change for Botafogo FR made on 59 minute. Matheus Martins leaves to be changed by Artur Guimaraes.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 398 games and scored 432 goals.
- 66' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lima is hanging Ganso on the field on 66 minute.
- 68' A moment of madness from Jhon Arias on 68 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 71' That looks like a foul for a card for Gregore.
- 73' Botafogo FR manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elias Manoel is hanging Gonzalo Mastriani on the field on 73 minute.
- 78' A quiet spell here at Estadio Nilton Santos. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 81' Everaldo is replacing German Cano for the Fluminense FC side.
- 82' The whistle greets Martinelli as he departs to be replaced by Paulo Baya.
- 86' Time for substitution for Botafogo FR. Marlon Freitas is replaced by Allan.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jefferson Savarino is booked for Botafogo FR — card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Botafogo FR to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 10
- 12
- 2
- 20
-
17
Marlon Freitas ↓ Allan 86'
- 39
- 11
-
66
Cuiabano ↓ Alex Telles 58'
- 32
- 99
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 59'
-
25
Allan ↑ 86'
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 58'
- 6
- 5
-
33
Elias Manoel ↑ 73'
- 9
- 24
- 47
- 18
- 28
- 4
Coach
Renato Paiva
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 81'
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Paulo Baya 82'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 66'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Nonato 66'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
-
16
Nonato ↑ 66'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 81'
-
45
Lima ↑ 66'
-
77
Paulo Baya ↑ 82'
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 66'
- 12
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Junior Santos | 1 |
| Pedro | 1 |
| Kevin | 1 |
| Tiquinho Soares | 1 |
| Rodrigo Lindoso | 1 |
| Caio Alexandre | 1 |
| Bastos | 1 |
| Kieza | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.58
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
76%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

