Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 22 | Points | 31 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 31 | Scored | 28 |
| 31 | Conceded | 23 |
| +0 | GD | +5 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 35% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Botafogo FR host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' It’s high time Renato Paiva made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Cuiabano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Botafogo FR so far.
- 15' Botafogo FR are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 16' Alexander Barboza picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 24' Poor challenge from Cuiabano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 29' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 34' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 37' Against the run of play, Vitinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 41' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
- 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Botafogo FR that had 341 games and scored 352 goals.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' A moment of madness from Juan Freytes on 56 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 58' Cuiabano makes way for Alex Telles at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
- 59' Ganso was booked on 59.
- 59' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Matheus Martins by Artur Guimaraes on 59 minute.
- 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 66' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lima is hanging Ganso on the field on 66 minute.
- 68' Controversy at the stadium! Jhon Arias argues furiously but the card stands.
- 71' Gregore has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
- 73' Elias Manoel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gonzalo Mastriani at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Botafogo FR and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 81' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Everaldo comes on to replace German Cano.
- 82' Paulo Baya gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Martinelli and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Marlon Freitas has done his job and it is now time for Allan to step up.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jefferson Savarino is booked for Botafogo FR — card on 90.
- Full Time. Botafogo FR beats Fluminense FC
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 10
- 12
- 2
- 20
-
17
Marlon Freitas ↓ Allan 86'
- 39
- 11
-
66
Cuiabano ↓ Alex Telles 58'
- 32
- 99
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 59'
-
25
Allan ↑ 86'
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 58'
- 6
- 5
-
33
Elias Manoel ↑ 73'
- 9
- 24
- 47
- 18
- 28
- 4
Coach
Renato Paiva
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 81'
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Paulo Baya 82'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 66'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Nonato 66'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
-
16
Nonato ↑ 66'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 81'
-
45
Lima ↑ 66'
-
77
Paulo Baya ↑ 82'
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 66'
- 12
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bastos | 1 |
| Kieza | 1 |
| Wellington Silva | 1 |
| Luiz Henrique | 1 |
| Pedro | 1 |
| Lucca | 1 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 1 |
| Rodrigo Lindoso | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.82
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
47%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

