Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 28 games · 35 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 35 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 8 / 11 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 41 | Scored | 44 |
| 45 | Conceded | 36 |
| -4 | GD | +8 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 32% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (35 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 9 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Nilton Santos will turn into a battlefield for Botafogo FR and Fluminense FC.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Gregore is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 16' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 16.
- 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 24' The referee calls foul for Cuiabano. He receives a card.
- 29' Botafogo FR are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rene suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' Magnificent from Vitinho! That is 10 goals in 362 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Facundo Bernal on 41 minutes.
- 46' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 56.
- 58' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Cuiabano is replaced by Alex Telles on 58 minute.
- 59' Ganso catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 59.
- 59' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Matheus Martins is withdrawn and Artur Guimaraes gets his opportunity.
- 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 66' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Ganso by Lima on 66 minute.
- 68' It’s gonna be a card for Jhon Arias.
- 71' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 71.
- 73' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Gonzalo Mastriani is replaced by Elias Manoel on 73 minute.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 81' The whistle greets German Cano as he departs to be replaced by Everaldo.
- 82' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Martinelli is withdrawn and Paulo Baya gets his opportunity.
- 86' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Marlon Freitas is withdrawn and Allan gets his opportunity.
- 90' Jefferson Savarino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 10
- 12
- 2
- 20
-
17
Marlon Freitas ↓ Allan 86'
- 39
- 11
-
66
Cuiabano ↓ Alex Telles 58'
- 32
- 99
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 59'
-
25
Allan ↑ 86'
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 58'
- 6
- 5
-
33
Elias Manoel ↑ 73'
- 9
- 24
- 47
- 18
- 28
- 4
Coach
Renato Paiva
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 81'
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Paulo Baya 82'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 66'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Nonato 66'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
-
16
Nonato ↑ 66'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 81'
-
45
Lima ↑ 66'
-
77
Paulo Baya ↑ 82'
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 66'
- 12
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Wellington Silva | 1 |
| Luiz Henrique | 1 |
| Pedro | 1 |
| Lucca | 1 |
| Ignacio | 1 |
| Rodrigo Lindoso | 1 |
| Manoel Messias | 1 |
| Alex Telles | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

