Sunday , 16 August 2026

Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 00:00 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
16 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D
12 Apr RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Juventude H 2–0 W
30 Mar SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Fluminense FC
#10 Position #4
30 Points 38
21 Played 23
8 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
35 Scored 34
33 Conceded 28
+2 GD +6
1.43 PPG 1.65
38% Win % 43%

Key Stats

32% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
21% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Botafogo FR are 10th (30 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Botafogo FR are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 16' Controversy at the stadium! Alexander Barboza argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 24' That looks like a foul for a card for Cuiabano.
  • 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' GOAL! Vitinho fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 41' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 41.
  • 46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fabio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 389 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 56' Juan Freytes was booked on 56.
  • 58' Alex Telles is replacing Cuiabano for the Botafogo FR side.
  • 59' Ganso catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 59.
  • 59' Botafogo FR manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Artur Guimaraes is hanging Matheus Martins on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lima made 238 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ganso exits the field as Lima enters on 66.
  • 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jhon Arias on 68 minutes.
  • 71' Poor challenge from Gregore. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Gonzalo Mastriani makes way for Elias Manoel at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
  • 78' Juan Freytes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Fluminense FCEveraldo on, German Cano off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' Paulo Baya gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Martinelli and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Marlon Freitas is withdrawn and Allan gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Jefferson Savarino is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.72 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR54% Draw25% Fluminense FC21%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
79%
Draw or Fluminense FC
46%
Botafogo FR or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR36% Draw45% Fluminense FC19%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
35%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.