Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Dundee United FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 3 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Dundee United FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar St. Mirren FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 0–0 D
21 Feb Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Falkirk FC A 3–2 W
04 Feb Hibernian FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Dundee United FC A 1–2 L
28 Feb Livingston FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Motherwell FC H 0–5 L
14 Feb Hibernian FC A 0–2 L
11 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 3–4 L
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Dundee United FC St. Mirren FC
#9 Position #5
8 Points 10
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
9 Scored 8
11 Conceded 9
-2 GD -1
1.14 PPG 1.43
29% Win % 43%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Dundee United FC are 9th (8 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Dundee United FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Dundee United FC
Jesse Randall 2 G 2 A
Will Ferry 1 G 1 A
Lachlan Rose 1 G
Zac Sapsford 1 G
Emmanuel Agyei 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Dundee United FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Dundee United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Dundee United FC47% Draw26% St. Mirren FC27%
Actual: Dundee United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Dundee United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
53%
Dundee United FC or St. Mirren FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Dundee United FC31% Draw47% St. Mirren FC22%
Actual: Dundee United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Dundee United FC

Handicap Dundee United FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.