Saturday , 14 November 2026

Dundee United FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 3 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Dundee United FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 25.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar St. Mirren FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 0–0 D
21 Feb Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Falkirk FC A 3–2 W
04 Feb Hibernian FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Dundee United FC A 1–2 L
28 Feb Livingston FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Motherwell FC H 0–5 L
14 Feb Hibernian FC A 0–2 L
11 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 3–4 L
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Dundee United FC St. Mirren FC
#6 Position #8
17 Points 14
12 Played 13
4 / 5 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 7
17 Scored 12
17 Conceded 22
+0 GD -10
1.42 PPG 1.08
33% Win % 31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Dundee United FC are 6th (17 pts). St. Mirren FC are 8th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Dundee United FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
2/4
31-45
7/1
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Dundee United FC
Jesse Randall 3 G 3 A
Zac Sapsford 3 G
Lyall Cameron 2 G 3 A
Will Ferry 1 G 1 A
Lachlan Rose 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G 2 A
Eseosa Sule 2 G 1 A
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Dundee United FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Dundee United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Dundee United FC54% Draw25% St. Mirren FC21%
Actual: Dundee United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Dundee United FC or Draw
80%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
46%
Dundee United FC or St. Mirren FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Dundee United FC38% Draw46% St. Mirren FC16%
Actual: Dundee United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Dundee United FC

Handicap Dundee United FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.