Thursday , 2 July 2026

Dundee United FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 3 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Dundee United FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar St. Mirren FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 0–0 D
21 Feb Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Falkirk FC A 3–2 W
04 Feb Hibernian FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Dundee United FC A 1–2 L
28 Feb Livingston FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Motherwell FC H 0–5 L
14 Feb Hibernian FC A 0–2 L
11 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 3–4 L
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Dundee United FC St. Mirren FC
#7 Position #10
40 Points 30
33 Played 33
9 / 13 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
45 Scored 27
54 Conceded 48
-9 GD -21
1.21 PPG 0.91
27% Win % 21%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Dundee United FC are 7th (40 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Another three points for Dundee United FC.

Lineups

Dundee United FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Dundee United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Dundee United FC52% Draw26% St. Mirren FC22%
Actual: Dundee United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Dundee United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
48%
Dundee United FC or St. Mirren FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Dundee United FC35% Draw47% St. Mirren FC18%
Actual: Dundee United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Dundee United FC

Handicap Dundee United FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.