Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,055 HT 45' · FT 45'
Louie Sibley 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stevenage FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Michael Webb
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
7 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
03 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Derby County FC A 0–1 L
13 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 2–3 L
10 Feb Port Vale FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Reading FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
27 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Daniel Kemp 3 G 1 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G
Josh Magennis 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Stevenage FC is underway.
  • 5' Ryan Nyambe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Wildsmith made 393 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Stevenage FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Stevenage FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stevenage FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Thomas Barkhuizen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stevenage FC.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' England international Carl Piergianni has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Stevenage FC's compact .
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Jake Forster-Caskey. He receives a card.
  • 63' Korey Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Nyambe on 63 minute.
  • 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' Another substitution for Stevenage FC to replace Jake Forster-Caskey by Finley Burns on 72 minute.
  • 73' Aaron Pressley is replacing Kane Hemmings for the Stevenage FC side.
  • 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Another change for Stevenage FC made on 79 minute. Jordan Roberts leaves to be changed by Harvey White.
  • 81' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Thomas Barkhuizen departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
  • 84' Taye Ashby-Hammond was booked on 84.
  • 89' Nick Freeman has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' A goal from the England international Louie Sibley! He fires home on 90 to make it 1-0!
  • 90' A change in the Stevenage FC ranks — Louis Thompson exits the field as Vadaine Oliver enters on 90.
  • 1-0 the final result. Stevenage FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC45% Draw28% Stevenage FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Stevenage FC
55%
Derby County FC or Stevenage FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw50% Stevenage FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.