Monday , 27 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,392 HT 45' · FT 45'
Louie Sibley 5' 1–0
Dwight Gayle 44' 2–0
Louie Sibley 58' 3–0
Y 40' Funso Ojo
Y 90' Gavin Massey

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Derby County FC A 0–3 L
27 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D
24 Feb Lincoln City FC H 0–2 L
20 Feb Reading FC A 0–2 L
17 Feb Cheltenham Town FC A 2–3 L
10 Feb Stevenage FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC58% Draw25% Port Vale FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Port Vale FC
42%
Derby County FC or Port Vale FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw47% Port Vale FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.