Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,392 HT 45' · FT 45'
Louie Sibley 5' 1–0
Dwight Gayle 44' 2–0
Louie Sibley 58' 3–0
Y 40' Funso Ojo
Y 90' Gavin Massey

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
  • Assistant 2 Stephen Finch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Derby County FC A 0–3 L
27 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D
24 Feb Lincoln City FC H 0–2 L
20 Feb Reading FC A 0–2 L
17 Feb Cheltenham Town FC A 2–3 L
10 Feb Stevenage FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Derby County FC and Port Vale FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Assisted by Joe Ward with the perfectly-timed delivery and Louie Sibley makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 10' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Port Vale FC's shape.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Port Vale FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Port Vale FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' The travelling Port Vale FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' Poor challenge from Funso Ojo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 44' GOAL! Dwight Gayle fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 46' Port Vale FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Baylee Dipepa is hanging Ethan Chislett on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Kacper Lopata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 58' The England midfielder Louie Sibley breaks the deadlock on 58 minutes. 3-0!
  • 62' Time for substitution for Port Vale FC. Jack Shorrock is replaced by Mitchell Clark.
  • 67' The 30-year-old Nathan Smith has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Martyn Waghorn comes on to replace Dwight Gayle.
  • 73' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Port Vale FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Corey Blackett-Taylor. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 75 minute.
  • 80' Nathan Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Iacovitti on 80 minute.
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Darren Moore will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' Port Vale FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Alexander Mighten. He replaces James Plant on 90 minute.
  • Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC58% Draw25% Port Vale FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Port Vale FC
42%
Derby County FC or Port Vale FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw47% Port Vale FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.