Hull City AFC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Cardiff City FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Cardiff City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Leigh Doughty
- Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
3 games this season
🟨 6.3/game
⚽ 24.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Cardiff City FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Millwall FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Hull City AFC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Sep | Leeds United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | Burnley FC | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season
Cardiff City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cardiff City FC
0-15
4/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
9/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
5/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cardiff City FC
| Jack Moylan | 10 G | 3 A |
| Yousef Salech | 5 G | 1 A |
| Cian Ashford | 2 G | 2 A |
| Rubin Colwill | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Hull City AFC welcome Cardiff City FC for this crunch clash at The MKM Stadium.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Cardiff City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 13' Will Fish was booked on 13.
- 18' The deadlock is broken! Callum Robinson gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
- 22' Against the run of play, Mohamed Belloumi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 22' Cardiff City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 22.
- 27' Perry Ng has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 96 appearances.
- 28' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sean McLoughlin on 28 minutes.
- 33' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 35' Hull City AFC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mohamed Belloumi on 35.
- 40' Fresh legs for Cardiff City FC! Andy Rinomhota comes on to replace Will Fish.
- 45' Cardiff City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 51' Oscar Zambrano does the damage! The net is bulging and Hull City AFC surge ahead!
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 57' The referee shows Cardiff City FC player a card on 57.
- 59' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Mohamed Belloumi is replaced by Liam Millar on 59 minute.
- 62' Chris Willock is replacing Callum Robinson for the Cardiff City FC side.
- 67' Cardiff City FC have won 416 goals from 384 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 70' A moment of madness from Regan Slater on 70 minutes earns him a card. Hull City AFC will be frustrated.
- 72' Fresh legs for Hull City AFC! Abu Kamara comes on to replace Abdulkadir Omur.
- 73' Fresh legs for Cardiff City FC! Wilfride Kanga comes on to replace Anwar El Ghazi.
- 75' Perry Ng picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marvin Mehlem on 76.
- 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Robertson made 212 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 83' A change in the Hull City AFC ranks — Marvin Mehlem exits the field as Steven Alzate enters on 83.
- 88' Hull City AFC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Hull City AFC 4-1 Cardiff City FC.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
-
27
Regan Slater ↓ Kasey Palmer 73'
-
8
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Steven Alzate 83'
-
10
Abdulkadir Omur ↓ Abu Kamara 72'
- 5
- 9
- 6
- 1
- 23
-
33
Mohamed Belloumi ↓ Liam Millar 59'
-
25
Oscar Zambrano ↓ Xavier Simons 73'
Bench
- 3
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↑ 73'
-
19
Steven Alzate ↑ 83'
-
7
Liam Millar ↑ 59'
- 22
- 48
- 17
-
18
Xavier Simons ↑ 73'
-
44
Abu Kamara ↑ 72'
Coach
Tim Walter
Cardiff City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Callum O'Dowda ↓ David Turnbull 73'
- 8
- 12
-
47
Callum Robinson ↓ Chris Willock 62'
-
20
Anwar El Ghazi ↓ Wilfride Kanga 73'
- 21
- 38
-
17
Jamilu Collins ↓ Ollie Tanner 62'
- 27
- 18
-
2
Will Fish ↓ Andy Rinomhota 40'
Bench
-
35
Andy Rinomhota ↑ 40'
- 1
-
15
Wilfride Kanga ↑ 73'
-
14
David Turnbull ↑ 73'
-
16
Chris Willock ↑ 62'
- 37
-
32
Ollie Tanner ↑ 62'
- 45
- 49
Coach
Omer Riza
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Callum Robinson | 3 |
| Fabio Carvalho | 2 |
| Regan Slater | 2 |
| Dimitris Pelkas | 2 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | 2 |
| Daniel Ward | 2 |
| Scott Twine | 1 |
| Lewie Coyle | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Cardiff City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hull City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
84%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
39%
Hull City AFC or Cardiff City FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hull City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Cardiff City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

