Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 24 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,040 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua
  • Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
21 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
07 Oct Barnsley FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 1–4 L
30 Sep Northampton Town FC H 0–2 L
23 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Exeter City FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Vincent Harper needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Exeter City FC's shape.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Admiral Muskwe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Exeter City FC tonight.
  • 25' Exeter City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Magnificent from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! That is 29 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 34' It’s gonna be a card for Conor Hourihane.
  • 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 49' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 54' Max Bird is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Exeter City FC so far.
  • 55' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Louie Sibley gets a card.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Trevitt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Exeter City FC.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Exeter City FC! Caleb Watts comes on to replace Zak Jules.
  • 62' Exeter City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Thomas Barkhuizen on, Kane Wilson off on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — James Collins on, Louie Sibley off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
  • 79' Conor Washington is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 82' Korey Smith is replacing Conor Hourihane for the Derby County FC side.
  • 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC61% Draw25% Exeter City FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Exeter City FC
39%
Derby County FC or Exeter City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw50% Exeter City FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 26% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.