Saturday , 14 November 2026

Accrington Stanley FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Wham Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
Accrington Stanley FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Derby County FC H 0–3 L
08 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct Morecambe FC H 3–1 W
24 Sep Bristol Rovers FC A 1–0 W
17 Sep Cheltenham Town FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Wham Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Accrington Stanley FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' What a strike from William Osula! The score is 0-1.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shaun Whalley, as he is very good at scoring at Wham Stadium with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 25' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 28' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 37' Curtis Davies has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 37.
  • 39' What composure from William Osula! The Denmark international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 44' The 24-year-old Eiran Cashin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Harvey Rodgers made 231 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' A moment of madness from Douglas Tharme on 51 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Accrington Stanley FC will be frustrated.
  • 56' Haydon Roberts, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Haydon Roberts comes on to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Alhagi Sisay. He replaces Shaun Whalley on 69 minute.
  • 70' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — William Osula exits the field as David McGoldrick enters on 70.
  • 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Accrington Stanley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 81' Another substitution for Accrington Stanley FC to replace Mitchell Clark by Mohammed Sangare on 81 minute.
  • 82' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Lewis Dobbin by Richard Stearman on 82 minute.
  • 87' Korey Smith has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 89' The whistle greets Mohammed Sangare as he departs to be replaced by Jack Nolan.
  • Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.92 Accrington Stanley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Accrington Stanley FC25% Draw29% Derby County FC46%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Accrington Stanley FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Accrington Stanley FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Accrington Stanley FC17% Draw49% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Accrington Stanley FC

Handicap Accrington Stanley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Accrington Stanley FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.