Saturday , 14 November 2026

Accrington Stanley FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2018-19
Sat 26 Jan 2019 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Accrington Stanley FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Perry
  • Referee Jonathan Moss
  • Referee Andrew Halliday
  • Referee Simon Hooper

Head-to-Head

3
Accrington Stanley FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Derby County FC H 0–1 L
19 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L
12 Jan Bristol Rovers FC H 0–0 D
05 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Bradford City AFC A 0–3 L
29 Dec Peterborough United FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Accrington Stanley FC A 1–0 W
19 Jan Reading FC H 2–1 W
16 Jan Southampton FC A 2–2 D
11 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Southampton FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Accrington Stanley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Accrington Stanley FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 3' Daniel Barlaser has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 3.
  • 8' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Richard Keogh has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 13' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 18' A quiet spell here at . Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 23' Janoi Donacien is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 28' Billy Kee has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 33' Accrington Stanley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 37' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Mason Bennett comes on to replace Mason Mount.
  • 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jayden Bogle is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 52' Florian Jozefzoon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Accrington Stanley FC tonight.
  • 57' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 59' Daniel Barlaser has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 59.
  • 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ross Sykes, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Accrington Stanley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 72' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Jozefzoon is hanging Harry Wilson on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mason Bennett made 400 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Martyn Waghorn makes it 0-1.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' The Accrington Stanley FC bench stirs into life. Callum Johnson is withdrawn and Scott Brown gets his opportunity.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jayden Bogle.
  • 89' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Max Bird is hanging Martyn Waghorn on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' That is a Red card for Derby County FC. Jayden Bogle will be fuming at that decision.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.87 Accrington Stanley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Accrington Stanley FC29% Draw33% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Accrington Stanley FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
71%
Accrington Stanley FC or Derby County FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Accrington Stanley FC19% Draw56% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Accrington Stanley FC

Handicap Accrington Stanley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 22% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Accrington Stanley FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.