Monday , 10 August 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Thu 24 Apr 2025 · 19:30 UTC Estadio Civitas Metropolitano 49,410 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Gallagher 45' 2–0
Julian Alvarez 77' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Israel Barcena Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Porras Rico (Spain)

Recent Form

Season Stats

Club Atlético de Madrid Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#4 Position #8
69 Points 50
38 Played 38
21 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
62 Scored 41
44 Conceded 44
+18 GD -3
1.82 PPG 1.32
55% Win % 32%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Club Atlético de Madrid are 4th (69 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano!
  • 3' What a moment for Alexander Sorloth! That strike on 3 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 8' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 13' Sergi Guardiola has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 18' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 23' Club Atletico de Madrid are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pathe Ciss is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
  • 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Clement Lenglet suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Against the run of play, Conor Gallagher has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 50' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have won 226 goals from 229 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Club Atletico de Madrid started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Isi Palazon, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' Club Atletico de Madrid manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Antoine Griezmann is hanging Alexander Sorloth on the field on 61 minute.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Andrei Ratiu.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid team. Alfonso Espino is replaced by Pep Chavarria on 67 minute.
  • 68' Nahuel Molina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giuliano Simeone at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 76' A change in the Rayo Vallecano de Madrid ranks — Randy Ntekja exits the field as Sergi Guardiola enters on 76.
  • 77' The Argentina Julian Alvarez breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 3-0!
  • 79' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player sees a card in front of him.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Javi Galan as he leaves the pitch. Samuel Lino steps in for Club Atletico de Madrid.
  • 83' Adri Embarba gets the nod from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. He replaces Alvaro Garcia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Club Atletico de Madrid is showing some good football. However, Club Atletico de Madrid are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Club Atlético de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Club Atlético de Madrid to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atlético de Madrid66% Draw20% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw
86%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
34%
Club Atlético de Madrid or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Club Atlético de Madrid48% Draw39% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid13%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid

Handicap Club Atlético de Madrid covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 22% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
40%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.