Sunday , 15 November 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Completely-Suzuki Stadium 5,292 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robert Street 39' 1–0
1–1 45+7' Curtis Nelson
Tom Bradbury 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Completely-Suzuki Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Wright
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Kane (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
30 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Stevenage FC H 0–3 L
19 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
16 Sep Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Completely-Suzuki Stadium!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Conor Hourihane, as he is very good at scoring at Completely-Suzuki Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Nyambe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 18' Cheltenham Town FC make a change. Sean Long trudges off to be replaced by Tom Bradbury on 18 minutes.
  • 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cheltenham Town FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Sean Long has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Against the run of play, Robert Street has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Max Bird made 397 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' The whistle greets Tyrese Fornah as he departs to be replaced by Max Bird.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 52' What a strike from Curtis Nelson! The score is 1-1.
  • 57' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Jovan Malcolm. He replaces James Olayinka on 60 minute.
  • 61' The Cheltenham Town FC manager makes a substitution. Liam Smith departs to be replaced by Josh Williams.
  • 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Conor Hourihane comes on to replace Martyn Waghorn.
  • 68' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Mendez-Laing exits the field as Kane Wilson enters on 68.
  • 70' A moment of madness from Tom Bradbury on 70 minutes earns him a card. Cheltenham Town FC will be frustrated.
  • 73' Aidan Keena is ready to make an impact after coming on for Will Goodwin at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 82' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Conor Washington is hanging Thomas Barkhuizen on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' Liam Smith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • It finishes all square. Cheltenham Town FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC27% Draw29% Derby County FC44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
73%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC20% Draw48% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.