Sunday , 16 August 2026

Chelsea FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
2 2
Full Time
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Stamford Bridge HT 45' · FT 45'
Cole Palmer pen 44' 1–0
1–1 47' Josh Cullen
Cole Palmer 78' 2–1
2–2 81' Dara O'Shea

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at Stamford Bridge.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Burnley FC H 2–2 D
17 Mar Leicester City FC H 4–2 W
11 Mar Newcastle United FC H 3–2 W
02 Mar Brentford FC A 2–2 D
28 Feb Leeds United FC H 3–2 W
17 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
03 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–2 L
24 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 0–3 L
17 Feb Arsenal FC H 0–5 L

Season Stats

Chelsea FC Burnley FC
#17 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Chelsea FC are 17th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.35 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC53% Draw28% Burnley FC19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Burnley FC
47%
Chelsea FC or Burnley FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC33% Draw53% Burnley FC14%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.8%
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
Actual
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.