Monday , 12 October 2026

Chapecoense AF vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC Arena Conda

Overview

Match Preview

Chapecoense AF vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Conda.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–4 L
19 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
12 Sep SC Internacional H 1–2 L
06 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
30 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
23 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
09 Oct Coritiba FBC H 4–0 W
20 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 3–1 W
12 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
06 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
30 Aug CA Paranaense A 3–3 D

Season Stats

Chapecoense AF Fluminense FC
#20 Position #3
18 Points 51
28 Played 30
3 / 9 / 16 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 7
29 Scored 48
57 Conceded 37
-28 GD +11
0.64 PPG 1.70
11% Win % 47%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Chapecoense AF are 20th (18 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/5
16-30
4/10
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
1/8
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
Marcinho 5 G 2 A
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A

H2H

Predictions

1.16 Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

Chapecoense AF26% Draw26% Fluminense FC48%

Both Teams to Score

Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.13

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Chapecoense AF or Draw
51%
Draw or Fluminense FC
74%
Chapecoense AF or Fluminense FC
74%

Half-Time Result

Chapecoense AF18% Draw42% Fluminense FC40%

Correct Score

1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF

Handicap Chapecoense AF covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
15%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.