Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Ceará SC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
2 – 0
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 16' Francis Amuzu
Y 41' Matias Arezo
Y 54' Igor
Matheus Bahia 73' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 25 52
2 CR Flamengo 24 48
3 CA Paranaense 25 45
4 Fluminense FC 25 42
5 EC Bahia 25 40
6 Cruzeiro EC 25 39
7 Coritiba FBC 25 37
8 CA Mineiro 24 36
9 RB Bragantino 24 35
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 25 32
11 Sao Paulo FC 24 30
12 Botafogo FR 24 30
13 Santos FC 24 29
14 EC Vitoria 25 29
15 Gremio FBPA 24 28
16 SC Internacional 25 25
17 Mirassol FC 24 25
18 CR Vasco da Gama 24 25
19 Clube do Remo 25 23
20 Chapecoense AF 24 14

Head-to-Head

3
2
6
Ceará SC 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2021-09-12 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Ceará SC 2021-05-30 Ceará SC 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2020-11-14 Gremio FBPA 4–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-13 Ceará SC 1–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W
09 Nov Avaí FC A 0–2 L
05 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
31 Oct Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
01 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Ceará SC and Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Antonio Galeano made 12 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Fabiano Silva has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 16' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Francis Amuzu on 16 minutes.
  • 21' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 26' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pedro Raul makes it 0-1.
  • 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ceará SC and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Matias Arezo. He receives a card.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Camilo is replaced by Franco Cristaldo.
  • 51' Willian Machado, a Brazil , has 7 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Igor.
  • 58' Ceara SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Silvio Martinez is hanging Fernandinho on the field on 58 minute.
  • 63' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Cristian Pavon by Joao Pedro on 63 minute.
  • 64' Alexander Aravena is ready to make an impact after coming on for Igor at the 64 minute mark.
  • 67' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Mugni departs to be replaced by Matheus Araujo.
  • 72' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gustavo Quinteros will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 73' Ceara SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Edenilson exits the field as Miguel Monsalve enters on 81.
  • 86' Marllon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
  • 87' Francis Amuzu makes way for Andre at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 90' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Antonio Galeano is withdrawn and Aylon gets his opportunity.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 2
Thonny Anderson 2
Thonny Anderson 2
Geromel 2
Luan 1
Fabinho 1
Ferreira 1
Luiz Otavio 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2021-09-12 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Ceará SC 2021-05-30 Ceará SC 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2020-11-14 Gremio FBPA 4–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-13 Ceará SC 1–1 Gremio FBPA

Ceará SC Form

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-03-31 RB Bragantino 2–2 Ceará SC D 2022-11-13 Ceará SC 4–1 EC Juventude W 2022-11-09 Avaí FC 2–0 Ceará SC L 2022-11-05 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–0 Ceará SC L 2022-10-31 Ceará SC 0–1 Fluminense FC L

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W 2024-12-08 Gremio FBPA 0–3 SC Corinthians Paulista L 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC48% Draw27% Gremio FBPA25%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
75%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
52%
Ceará SC or Gremio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC34% Draw47% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.