Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Renzo Barbera 18,032 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rayyan Baniya 35' 1–0
Przemyslaw Wisniewski og 64' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Alessandro Prontera
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Marco Trinchieri (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
24 Nov UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
08 Nov Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D
03 Nov AS Cittadella H 0–1 L
30 Oct Mantova 1911 SSD A 0–0 D
26 Oct AC Reggiana H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Palermo FC A 0–2 L
24 Nov FC Sudtirol H 3–0 W
10 Nov SS Juve Stabia A 3–0 W
02 Nov Modena FC 2018 H 1–0 W
29 Oct Brescia Calcio A 1–1 D
25 Oct SSC Bari H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Palermo FC to score. At the same time, Spezia Calcio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Palermo FC have won 125 goals from 116 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Palermo FC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Spezia Calcio's compact 3-5-2.
  • 13' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Thomas Henry gets a card.
  • 16' Spezia Calcio player sees a card in front of him.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' Palermo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Luca Vignali by Nicolo Bertola on 26 minute.
  • 31' Nicolo Bertola is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Spezia Calcio tonight.
  • 35' Rayyan Baniya doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 40' Palermo FC is showing some good football. However, Palermo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' The referee shows Palermo FC player a card on 41.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Petko Hristov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Jeremy Le Douaron. He replaces Thomas Henry on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spezia Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 52' Spezia Calcio receives a card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
  • 61' Arkadiusz Reca is replacing Francesco Cassata for the Spezia Calcio side.
  • 64' The Poland Przemyslaw Wisniewski breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 1-1!
  • 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Spezia Calcio — Giuseppe Di Serio on, Edoardo Soleri off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' The Palermo FC manager makes a substitution. Roberto Insigne departs to be replaced by Francesco Di Mariano.
  • 77' With 0 assists to his name this season, Valerio Verre is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Spezia Calcio.
  • 82' A quiet spell here at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Spezia Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Palermo FC. Filippo Ranocchia is replaced by Claudio Gomes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Palermo FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Palermo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC44% Draw29% Spezia Calcio27%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
56%
Palermo FC or Spezia Calcio
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC29% Draw51% Spezia Calcio20%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.