Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
- Palermo FC 38 games · 72 pts (2025/26)
- Spezia Calcio 38 games · 35 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alessandro Prontera
- Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
- Assistant 2 Marco Trinchieri (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Sudtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Frosinone Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | AS Cittadella | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Oct | Mantova 1911 SSD | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | AC Reggiana | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Palermo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | FC Sudtirol | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | SS Juve Stabia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Modena FC 2018 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | Brescia Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SSC Bari | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Palermo FC | Spezia Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #19 |
| 72 | Points | 35 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 12 / 6 | W / D / L | 8 / 11 / 19 |
| 61 | Scored | 43 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +28 | GD | -16 |
| 1.89 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
45%
Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
Palermo FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season
Spezia Calcio this season
Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts). Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spezia Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Palermo FC and Spezia Calcio.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Spezia Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Spezia Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 13' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Thomas Henry gets a card.
- 16' Poor challenge from Francesco Cassata. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. Palermo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 26' Palermo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 26' Nicolo Bertola gets the nod from Spezia Calcio. He replaces Luca Vignali and will look to change the dynamic.
- 31' The travelling Spezia Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 35' Rayyan Baniya is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 40' Francesco Cassata is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Palermo FC so far.
- 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Filippo Ranocchia on 41.
- 45' Petko Hristov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for Palermo FC. Thomas Henry is replaced by Jeremy Le Douaron.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Palermo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' That looks like a foul for a card for Ales Mateju.
- 57' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Palermo FC and Spezia Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 61' Arkadiusz Reca has so much to prove this time. He replaces Francesco Cassata on 61 minute.
- 64' Przemyslaw Wisniewski has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
- 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 71' Giuseppe Di Serio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Edoardo Soleri at the 71 minute mark.
- 72' A change in the Palermo FC ranks — Roberto Insigne exits the field as Francesco Di Mariano enters on 72.
- 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 87' Time for substitution for Palermo FC. Filippo Ranocchia is replaced by Claudio Gomes.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Palermo FC 2-0 Spezia Calcio.
Lineups
Palermo FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
26
Valerio Verre ↓ Aljosa Vasic 61'
- 10
- 8
- 11
- 17
- 32
- 43
- 20
- 1
- 4
- 23
Bench
-
7
Francesco Di Mariano ↑ 72'
-
6
Claudio Gomes ↑ 87'
- 46
- 18
-
21
Jeremy Le Douaron ↑ 46'
- 29
- 19
-
3
Kristoffer Lund ↑ 61'
- 9
-
14
Aljosa Vasic ↑ 61'
- 12
- 25
Coach
Alessio Dionisi
Spezia Calcio Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 7
-
8
Adam Nagy ↓ Pietro Candelari 71'
- 55
- 5
- 37
-
32
Luca Vignali ↓ Nicolo Bertola 26'
- 29
- 66
- 2
- 9
- 27
Bench
-
13
Arkadiusz Reca ↑ 61'
- 11
-
25
Filippo Bandinelli ↑ 61'
- 31
- 4
-
20
Giuseppe Di Serio ↑ 71'
-
77
Nicolo Bertola ↑ 26'
- 17
- 6
- 65
-
36
Pietro Candelari ↑ 71'
- 12
Coach
Luca D'Angelo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Francesco Esposito | 2 |
| Leonardo Mancuso | 1 |
| Giuseppe Di Serio | 1 |
| Rayyan Baniya | 1 |
| Giuseppe Aurelio | 1 |
| Filippo Ranocchia | 1 |
| Matteo Brunori Sandri | 1 |
| Arkadiusz Reca | 1 |
Head to Head
Palermo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
Palermo FC to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Palermo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Palermo FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
45%
Palermo FC or Spezia Calcio
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Palermo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Palermo FC
| Handicap | Palermo FC covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

