Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leyton Orient FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brisbane Road 8,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 21' Josh Vela
Shaqai Forde 40' 1–1
Shaqai Forde 45+4' 2–1
Ruel Sotiriou 58' 3–1
3–2 90+5' Sean Maguire pen

Overview

Match Preview

Leyton Orient FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Brisbane Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Hickman (England)
  • Assistant 2 Dean Treleaven
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 13.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Carlisle United FC H 3–2 W
27 Jan Reading FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
13 Jan Portsmouth FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
29 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
27 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–4 L
16 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
13 Jan Oxford United FC H 1–3 L
06 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leyton Orient FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Leyton Orient FC is hosting Carlisle United FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Leyton Orient FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Carlisle United FC backline.
  • 10' Leyton Orient FC is showing some good football. However, Leyton Orient FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' It’s high time Richie Wellens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' The Carlisle United FC bench stirs into life. Jack Diamond is withdrawn and Sean Maguire gets his opportunity.
  • 21' GOAL! Josh Vela scores on 21.
  • 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leyton Orient FC that had 150 games and scored 138 goals.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Sam Lavelle has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' What a moment for Shaqai Forde! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' Leyton Orient FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 49' What a moment for Shaqai Forde! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 54' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' The referee has no hesitation. Ethan Galbraith is booked for Leyton Orient FC — card on 56.
  • 58' Ruel Sotiriou does the damage! The net is bulging and Leyton Orient FC surge ahead!
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 69' The referee calls foul for Idris El Mizouni. He receives a card.
  • 71' A change in the Leyton Orient FC ranks — George Moncur exits the field as Robert Hunt enters on 71.
  • 73' Carlisle United FC make a change. Jordan Gibson trudges off to be replaced by Sean Grehan on 73 minutes.
  • 74' A change in the Carlisle United FC ranks — Fin Back exits the field as Daniel Butterworth enters on 74.
  • 76' Another change for Leyton Orient FC made on 76 minute. Theodore Archibald leaves to be changed by Oliver O'Neill.
  • 81' Poor challenge from Robert Hunt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' Shaqai Forde picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 85' Leyton Orient FC ring the changes. Omar Beckles has done his job and it is now time for Brandon Cooper to step up.
  • 90' It looks like no one’s ball. Leyton Orient FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Leyton Orient FC to win 57% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC57% Draw24% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Leyton Orient FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Leyton Orient FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
43%
Leyton Orient FC or Carlisle United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leyton Orient FC37% Draw44% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Leyton Orient FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC

Handicap Leyton Orient FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.