Burton Albion FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Craig Hicks
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | Carlisle United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Northampton Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Lincoln City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Cambridge United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burton Albion FC to score. At the same time, Carlisle United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Jack Armer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luke Armstrong suffering a number of foals already.
- 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Diamond on 12.
- 17' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
- 18' The whistle greets Mason Bennett as he departs to be replaced by Antwoine Hackford.
- 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 27' Paul Huntington puts Carlisle United FC on the lead.
- 32' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 47' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 52' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 67' Joe Powell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 42 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 72' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace John Brayford by Joe Hugill on 72 minute.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
- 83' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Taylor Charters is replaced by Daniel Butterworth.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Vela on 86.
- 88' The whistle greets Josh Vela as he departs to be replaced by Alfie McCalmont.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 11
-
2
John Brayford ↓ Joe Hugill 72'
- 37
- 6
- 1
- 23
- 17
- 46
- 4
- 20
Bench
- 8
- 30
- 3
- 21
-
32
Antwoine Hackford ↑ 18'
- 18
-
44
Joe Hugill ↑ 72'
Coach
Martin Paterson
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 40
-
27
Jack Diamond ↓ Jack Robinson 83'
- 6
-
36
Josh Vela ↓ Alfie McCalmont 88'
- 5
- 15
- 3
- 18
- 33
Bench
- 24
-
11
Daniel Butterworth ↑ 83'
-
10
Alfie McCalmont ↑ 88'
-
19
Jack Robinson ↑ 83'
- 13
- 7
- 34
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mark Helm | 1 |
| Joe Garner | 1 |
| Jordan Gibson | 1 |
| Paul Huntington | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2024-02-27
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-02-24
Burton Albion FC
0–2
Northampton Town FC
L
2024-02-17
Leyton Orient FC
1–2
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-02-10
Bristol Rovers FC
1–2
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-02-03
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Lincoln City FC
L
2024-01-27
Cambridge United FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
Carlisle United FC Form
2024-02-27
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-02-24
Bristol Rovers FC
2–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-02-17
Carlisle United FC
0–4
Cambridge United FC
L
2024-02-10
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Portsmouth FC
L
2024-02-03
Leyton Orient FC
3–2
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-01-27
Carlisle United FC
1–4
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Burton Albion FC or Carlisle United FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
69%
Burton Albion FC or Carlisle United FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Carlisle United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.